Because J.Mace was right:
(-John Mace 01-17-2014 03:22 PM) “The Arab Spring meant getting rid of the Old Guard, and ushering in the new. <“Cite”
Because P.Tense is absolutely wrong:
(-PastTense 01-17-2014 12:51 PM) It appears the only two options for Egypt are military dictatorship or Islamic theocracy. <“Cite”
Because J.Mace is wrong:
(-John Mace 01-17-2014 02:47 PM) There is still a good possibility of civil war, or at least some significant domestic “unrest”. <“Cite”
Because D.Ajashi is right:
Damuri Ajashi 01-17-2014 05:38 PM If you have a unified military on the same page, then civil war is averted no matter how many poorly armed Islamic brothers don’t like it. IOW, there was never really a chance of civil war if the military didn’t permit it. <“Cite”
M.Lover found two US Reps who got it right:
Marmite Lover 01-21-2014 03:37 AM “Cite”>Rep. Rohrabacher: “Totally on board with Sisi’s program” and says “Morsi undermined democracy with desire for radical caliphate and lied to the people”
Rep. Sanchez: “It’s truly amazing when a military sides with the people and says enough! let’s try this democracy thing again… The next government will be elected by the “real people” of Egypt” <“Cite”
My thoughts:
From a much earlier thread… lots of rational, intelligent commentary was available.
(-Horatio Hellpop 07-06-2013 09:44 PM) The situation is a little murky. The Egyptian military has specific duties and privileges spelled out in Egypt’s constitution that, by some interpretations, allow or compel them to remove a president who threatens Egypt’s security and stability. Morsi arguably fit the bill. This arguably does not meet the strict definition of a “coup,” although it kind of walks and quacks like one.
Cutting off aid to Egypt is the law (Cutting off aid to Egypt is the law - Great Debates - Straight Dope Message Board) <“Cite”
(-Richard Parker 07-07-2013 10:43 AM) The problem here is that you have a joint action by the military, opposition leaders, and a mass movement. Does that constitute a “military decree”? Maybe it does, but it turns on the definition of “military” and “decree.” Can you point me to the part of the statute or the case law that defines the key terms?
If you can’t, then there’s plenty of wiggle room. <"Cite
(-TriPolar 07-07-2013 11:06 AM) If within a short time (which could be days) an interim civilian leader is selected this wouldn’t properly be considered a military coup. One of the problems Egypt faced is an inability to change it’s duly elected leader when circumstances warranted it, which made Morsi more of a duly elected dictator than president. On top of all that it’s something subject to interpretation, and as an act of congress it is congress that does the interpretation through action, inaction, or modification of the law. If the president interprets this law in a manner not acceptable to congress they can impeach him, short of that there’s no way that continuing the funding to Egypt can be considered illegal. <"Cite
And last but not least for now, I have a high degree of confidence that this decade’s Egyptian dissidents and revolutionaries will carry the fight for their liberty, rights, dignity and freedom, until they are satisfied with it.
It is quite ignorant of outside observers to have labeled the Morsi regime a functional democracy even for the brief year it survived. It had not achieved that status at all. It could have become a functional democracy had Morsi recognized his role in being the first post Mubarak president as representing all the people and doing only things that would put the economy back on track.
I wrote this a couple of weeks back… so it and all of what I’ve posted hopefully answers your question.
**(-NotfooledbyW 07-11-2013 09:58 PM) **I have read some interesting commentary in the European Press and one of them was about Mubarak’s former secret police. They were a hundred thousand strong. They were mentioned with the need to take a look at how the alliances have been shifting since Mubarak was ousted. One writer observed that it looks like the former Mubarak Secret Service members seem to be allied and protecting the Secularists of seventeen million who took to the streets calling for Morsi to resign. So this go around there is an alliance against the theocratic Muslim Brotherhood made up of the secularists/ protestors/ rebels plus the perhaps 100,000 former Mubarak Secret Police and the Egyptian military.
Think about it. Secularists have the toughest and most weapon laden groups on their side now. There may not be a civil war … and perhaps that is why the Muslim Brotherhood may have calmed down and figured out just what they are up against… and are now saying stuff like this:
Quote: “Cite” “We will continue our peaceful resistance to the bloody military coup against constitutional legitimacy,” the Brotherhood said. “We trust that the peaceful and popular will of the people shall triumph over force and oppression.”
A senior Brotherhood leader, Essam el-Erian, echoed the sentiment in comments published on the website of the Brotherhood’s political arm, the Freedom and Justice party.
“The people will restore their freedom and dignity through peaceful sit-ins in square, demonstrations and protests,” he was quoted as saying. “All Egyptians must stop dragging the country to violence and avoid falling into the vicious circle of violent and counter-violence.”
<“Cite”
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-...eful-defiance/
And the writing about the Secret Police comes from this excerpt and link:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/co...side-for-once/
“Cite”> For once, this is a conspiracy theory that appears to have some credence. The Amn al-Dawla, or State Security Investigations Service, was a hated organization during Mubarak’s time, a sign that Egypt, despite its tourist friendly image, was a police state in much the same mold as Syria or Iraq.
Its 100,000 staff monitored every walk of Egyptian life, even organizations such as hospitals and universities, and to get on the wrong side of them politically was to have one’s card marked for life (or, in some cases, death).
It was no surprise, therefore, when after Mr Mubarak’s fall in 2011, its headquarters were ransacked by crowds of angry demonstrators. Back then, anyone who even looked vaguely like a state-security man – burly, middle-aged, bad dress sense – could get surrounded by a mob and beaten up.
But while state security lost its stranglehold of terror that time, and has been in something of a directionless flux ever since, no organization with 100,000 people in it just disappears completely. And crucially, its leaders did not form a warm relationship with the Egypt’s new Muslim Brotherhood masters when they swept to power in last year’s elections.
From the Brotherhood’s point of view, state security had beaten up and tortured far too many Brotherhood followers to ever be trusted to any real degree. And from state security’s point of view, far too many Brotherhood types had pasts as violent militants, who had no business being anywhere near the reins of power.
Hence the sight of plain clothes men mingling in recent weeks with the crowds of anti-government protesters, this time with a view to protecting them rather than singling out people to cart away for questioning. So is there a genuine change of heart, or is it just a good instinct for self-preservation?
<“Cite”
I still like the odds for the secularists - the military - and the 100,000 strong former Mubarak tough guys - and many forward looking religious conservatives coming together to hold the Muslim Brotherhood’s itch for Iranian style Theocracy in check.
I’d call what happened to Morsi was a smack down or to paraphrase Jefferson… it was a good bit of ‘refreshing the tree of liberty’ when it had to.
Call it a coup D’état if you like. It doesn’t matter within a deeper perspective. <“Cite”
Cutting off aid to Egypt is the law (Cutting off aid to Egypt is the law - Great Debates - Straight Dope Message Board) <“Cite”