Kamala Harris and the runup to the 2024 Presidential Election {No more on Guns}

That was clearly the point Velocity was making.

Even more so 1984 when Reagan got 525 of the 538.

But let’s drop the 400+ Electoral votes now. It isn’t really on-topic or likely.

Moderating

Doug Emhoff had an affair during his first marriage. Why this matters in the race to be President I don’t know, but I’m sure the Republicans (was going to go with Weird Old Party but the acronym isn’t great) will try to make gold out of hay, like Rumplstilzkin.

The colorful Obama Hope type poster with trump and “weird”.

Not sure the Republicans want to go on about “affairs” while the NY trial sentencing is coming up…

It’s laughable to think that Republicans could make an issue of Doug Emhoff having an affair when Donald Trump has had three wives and cheated on all of them. And yet, if they do, his supporters will have absolutely no trouble maintaining the cognitive dissonance that Doug Emhoff is a dirty, immoral cheater while Donald Trump is the savior of Christian virtue.

never mind

More Republicans are supporting Kamala. Here’s hoping they can sway some votes without having her make too many concessions.

Republicans should shitcan trump and focus on down ballot and 2028. It will hurt them to reject him. It’s like someone with a huge infested abscess on their ass that they they’ve let get out of hand visits Dr Pimplepopper. They’re usually embarrassed that they’ve let the stinky thing get so big, and they’re relieved when she gets it all out, liner and all, and neatly sews it up. There will always be a little scar to remind them. It’s just like that.

Moderating:

Please don’t post about Trump in a Harris thread unless it’s about Republicans supporting Harris. It’s confusing.

The latest CBS poll has Harris ahead by 1%.
Some State numbers:

Overall good news and hopefully the numbers increase for Kamala Harris.

Nate Silver’s updated forecast was released this morning and for the first time Trump is behind!

Harris: 50.5
Trump: 48.8

Is she really improving that much? I don’t want to believe there is concrete hope. I mean, I do, but I don’t want to get too much false hope.

If she can hit 75% chance to win by October, I’ll begin to think, “Yeah, probably.”

I figured Joe Biden would win, though God…the electoral college made it stressful.

I would love for her to get 80 million votes. I don’t believe Trump is getting 74 million again. I mean, come on. I hope not.

A summary of the wild political rollercoaster we’ve all been experiencing. From the debate to the shot to the Decision to Weirdstown, Pop: Vance. The parts about their disarray after Biden left are particularly nice to read.

Just came across this TikTok video reposted on Xitter, a good old boy who’s voting for Harris:

Ha! I’m a 56 year old, white, gun owner, country-adjacent boy and she’s got my vote. My brother.

I want to take this seriously but . . . Bill Weld? Joe Walsh? Christine Todd Whitman? This is the same group of attention-starved Republican has-beens who’ve glommed onto every “never Trump” and third-party movement since 2106 to absolutely zero effect. Isn’t Bill Weld supposed to be a Libertarian? And isn’t Christine Todd Whitman a proud member of the Forward Party? Forward Party? Remember them? Positionless “centrist” political party founded by Andrew Yang? Anyone?

There is a song on youtube- Kamala, sung to Shabala. Nice.

Today it is

Harris: 53.0
Trump: 46.4

Harris’s has a 67.7% chance of winning the popular vote according to the model.

Do you know what changed? I saw several of the swing states basically tie up, but not enough to give her a 67% chance of winning. Is he factoring in some sort of momentum?