DSeid was referring to Georgia. First he stated the aggregate difference among polls there, and then the number (out of each 100) of simulations their model gives Georgia to Trump.
Scroll down and click on “Filter by poll type…”
Harris is going on Stern, Colbert and the View this week. Walz is doing an interview on Fox News. I think this is smart, gets them in front of huge audiences. Going to states and holding rallies might be the way campaigning is done, but the audience is often limited to the people already voting for them.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4917935-vice-president-harris-media-interviews/
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4917901-tim-walz-joins-fox-news/?tbref=hp
Linda Ronstadt releases statement as Trump hosts event in music hall (kgun9.com)
Naturally she felt compelled to make a public statement as her name has unfortunately been incidentally connected to Trump through the use of a venue that bears her name in honor.
I love the dog at Vance in the P.S. She’s unmarried, didn’t give birth, and lives alone with a cat. “Childless cat lady” who adopted and raised two children as a single mother, and they are now grown adults.
Regarding the campaign and interviews - I have been somewhat critical for the lack of media, especially TV, interviews. Well, I am happy that the Harris-Walz campaign is launching a media blitz this week. And I applaud them for the mix of platforms, and not strictly using traditional political programs.
That might be a shock based on some of my prior remarks, but I will admit that political junkies and folks who follow those programs have likely heard plenty from both sides and about each side from analysts and spinsters.
Colbert, Howard Stern, the “Call Her Daddy” podcast all provide a different audience and a different way to reach voters that don’t necessarily follow politics specifically.
I’m also happy to see she’s doing a 60 Minutes special. That’s real journalism and it reaches an audience that might not follow the daily political shows on news channels.
I’m especially happy that Trump chickened out from appearing. Apparently he has a history of that with 60 Minutes.
Latest Trump campaign ad I saw is trying to turn Harris’s joy against her, using TicToc videos of her dancing to cast her as a political lightweight. It will probably work with his base, but I just felt insulted. Maybe we should play some videos of Trump “dancing” in comparison.
And I shouldn’t neglect Univision. Yet another audience that could learn about her.
As @JKellyMap said: Georgia. Today Trump +1.2 aggregated.
On a lighter note:
I would think there would be a significant overlap between 60 Minutes viewers and the other news shows.
Yes, but 60 Minutes is a weekly program that discusses a lot of topics, not just politics. There are people who don’t have time for hours of politics every day from CNN or MSNBC or FOX, but check in once a week to 60 Minutes. They get a look at Pink! one week and an interview with a Russian dissident who was part of the Biden prisoner exchange the next.
Some political junkies watch 60 Minutes, but also a lot of people who don’t follow the daily ins and outs. Maybe it’s only old people, but at least some of them are likely to be just starting to think about voting.
And it’s the most traditional news venue she’s hitting, so maybe she takes the opportunity to address the crowd that has been looking for interviews by doing one they might see.
Colbert may be a softball interview with a supportive audience, whereas 60 Minutes should be a more confrontational interview from a more neutral source.
Unfortunately the 60 minutes show is not on at the usual time so it will not catch its regular viewers.
When is it on?
… nmmmmm
Tomorrow night.
Yes, I noticed that. Still hoping the show name and prime time slot will catch viewers.
It looks like the editoral staff of the Grey Lady has endorsed Ms Harris. It almost seems like a grudging voice of support, which is a little disturbing: it focuses on how incredibly horrible the alternative is but says little in terms of her positives. This is exactly the type of message that we do not need, but hopefully it will not be a problem for her, as just about everyone is peeved at the NYT.
Not at all clear on how the graph (and average) are calculated. All it takes is one +3 from some oddball Traflagar poll to bring the average to Trump +2 in the graph below the list. The average of what period? 2024 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling
They also published a passive-aggressive whine about Harris’ media blitz (“Harris Will Appear in a Whirlwind of Interviews, Most of Them Friendly”) which comes across like Tiffany calling Muffy a skanky bimbo after she heard that the star quarterback had asked Muffy to the prom.
I mean, that’s been essentially the unchanged Democratic argument since 2016.
The argument for Hillary was that Trump was worse. The argument for Biden was that Trump was worse.
Democrats haven’t run on a platform of “vote for our guy because our guy is good, period” since Obama.
Harris is. But the New York Times isn’t buying it, I guess
ISTM that the media outlets we collectively refer to as the “mainstream media” are scared shitless that a Presidential candidate (and, by extension, a President) can more effectively reach the mainstream of citizens by means other than themselves.
Oh, nonsense.
There have certainly been some voters who didn’t like the Democratic candidates and voted for them only to vote against Trump. But there were quite a lot of people who thought that Clinton would have been an excellent president; quite a lot who thought that Biden would be (and many, including some dubious beforehand, who think that he has been, dealing with a very difficult hand); and certainly very many who are actively excited about Harris.
The Democratic party is and has been warning against Trump, yes. But that’s not at all the same thing as saying that the party doesn’t think their own candidates are good.
I don’t think that’s the argument being made; I think that the argument is more that the messaging is primarily about attacking the other side than promoting your own. Velocity wasn’t saying people won’t vote for Harris because they like her, and are just voting against Trump (that’s not what I read from the post anyway). Though I will say that all of politics works this way, and based on what I recall from history class it was probably always like this. And while we remember a lot of enthusiasm about Obama, I bet if you looked at much of the political ads from his campaigns, there was probably still a majority of ads attacking McCain and Romney than those promoting Obama himself. Negativity gets attention, that’s why most of what you see on the news is about bad things happening.
And yeah, I was an enthusiastic pro-Biden voter in 2020, I actually liked him as a candidate. Especially when you consider that I was an ex-Republican who was turned away from the party by Trump, and Biden was the kind of moderate candidate that I felt comfortable with, and he was the guy I was rooting for during the primaries. (Though I admit I’m even much more enthusiastic about Harris now than I was about Biden back then.)