Y’all, I’ve been thinking about this all of lunchtime.
First, NAF: I get what you’re saying, and I figured that’s where you were going, but I wanted you to say it yourself. Here’s the problem: you’re right. A bunch of votes piled on to you following mine, and in an ordinary game, where the scum have perfect knowledge, I might take that as a vague sign that you might not be scum. But this is not an ordinary game, and the thing that you’re either missing or deliberately obscuring is this:
Whether or not Cookies is scum is actually irrelevant to the question of whether or not you are. Sure, maybe she’s scum of one flavor or another opportunistically jumping on a bandwagon in the hopes of avoiding her own lynch. Absolutely possible. Whether you are scum or not. If she’s (as you posit) the Vampire, and you yourself are Cabal (for example), she has no reason to not pile on you in exactly the way she would if you are a Magician.
So really, saying “Cookies is scummy” is not really an argument against the proposition “NAF is scummy.” But admittedly, my case against you is based on my own gut impressions more than on real analysis, and that troubles me.
Meanwhile, reflection on the subject over the lunch break has left me puzzled on the Scotsman issue. I see two arguments in favor of Omi No Kami:
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Meta-game reasoning. If Zsofia is Town (and a Scotsman, no less!), modkilling her would make the third modkilled Townie, which is frankly crippling and would have made the game seem impossible. On the other hand, if she is scum, and she was spared not one but two modkills, giving her a break for extenuating circumstances when consideration was NOT extended to two Townies would seem grossly unfair. Also:
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Omi No Kami’s claim to possess the Town’s secret power. It seemed reasonable to me at first. But… I don’t know. We’re well into the game now. Am I to believe that Omi No Kami never, in all this time, has not seen an opportunity to use this power? Not impossible, of course, but I have been working on designing two different games in the last few weeks, so I’ve proposed and discussed a lot of possible powers. I can’t think of one that wouldn’t be best used before Day Six of a game.
On the other hand:
Omi No Kami rode out very aggressively looking to lynch Zsofia. Zsofia, on the other hand, found reasons not to vote for Omi. Now here’s my thought: we’re close to endgame. Survival is going to be very important to the scum right now (obviously, especially for the Vampire). Here’s the problem with a fake claim of Scotsman.
If you false claim Scotsman, and you are believed, and the other Scotsman is lynched… well, you’re in trouble. Because you don’t get the benefit of a delay; the Town gets to find out what’s going on immediately after the lynch, when the other Scotsman doesn’t die. So if we lynch (say) Omi toDay, and he doesn’t die, then we’re going to lynch Zsofia toMorrow. Conversely, a Vicar lynch doesn’t give us information for a full extra day. So the fact that Omi definitely wanted to lynch Zsofia, but that Zsofia soft-pedaled an attempt to go after Omi, makes me lean in the other direction.
unvote NAF
Another vote is coming, before the deadline. It may be for NAF again, and it may go elsewhere. I will not allow a tie to happen. But I want to clear the decks and try to figure this out.