I’ve skimmed everything now.
I’m willing to trust the claimed third parties, at least until we’ve lynched a few Scum. To increase trust, it’s best that they all claim. Multiple reasons: 1) They can act as a pseudo-Mason bloc. 2) We can hold them accountable because their votes will be publicly known to that bloc. 3) They can confirm each other and prevent Scum from slipping into the bloc.
I realize they may be feel vulnerable doing this. But I’m willing to lynch anyone who publicly advocates lynching a third party who is a confirmed member of this group. But that guarantee can’t extend to players who claim while on the way to being lynched. Claim early if you want to be trusted!
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Let’s see if I can do the numbers correctly. We had 54 players, with 7 Town dead. That leaves 47 players, of who 14 are Scum. Leaving a 33-player buffer before we lose. Each Day and Night the buffer is reduced by 1, unless there’s a cross-kill. Each mislynch or mid-Vig reduces it by 1. So that converts to something like 8 Days until we lose, worst case (33/4 = 8).
Conversely, we need to get 14 lynches correct to win.
I can’t see Town being required to lynch 5 more third parties on top of that. But, we really need to see those players publicly claim so.