Cruz is nipping at Trump’s heels in Missouri.
And Bernie has a slight lead in Missouri (albeit St. Louis and KC still haven’t reported the majority of their vote yet (I’m using the NY Times).
But it’s got the fewest delegates of the five states being contested.
If Trump wins the remaining races tonight, which looks very possible, does he have a path to 1237, or has Kasich’s win stymied him?
And what about Cruz if he doesn’t win anything tonight?
North Carolina has been called for Trump. I suspect Illinois will be called for him next.
You were right…
Yep, Illinois was just called for Trump.
Cruz is beginning to fall further behind Trump in Missouri. Scary times, man.
Arnold is NOT popular in California. When he left office, he had the lowest support of any Governor ever.
California Rs are big on low taxes, defense spending, and economic freedom while not giving a crap about abortion, religion, womens’ “place”, or any other Southern-fried silliness.
Kasich is a little better than some on that score, but he’s also got a lot of Evangelical / rural baggage which massively turns off the California R crowd.
Somehow this sentence has a Zenlike poetic quality. Good username/post combo.
Too much caffeine . . .
But they might have gone to Clinton, or stayed home. Kasich staying in means more people have a way to vote Republican that’s not Trump; that’s not helping him.
Depends on Missouri. But I’m thinking Nate Silver is going to say it’s on the edge. Path, yes. Probability of a clear and undisputed 1,237? I’m guessing no.
Few of the Cleveland delegates will be actual Trump supporters. The question is whether they would dare throw over a strong plurality.
Another question is what kind of masochist would accept a nomination tainted by someone else having the most elected delegates. Cruz polls even with Clinton today, in part, because people being asked the question are assuming Ted would have won the nomination in a fair and transparent manner. As someone who stands accused of stealing the nomination away from the rightful winner, he wouldn’t poll nearly as well.
One little factor that could lead to the delegates denying Trump the nomination is the unusally long period between the convention and the general election. This leaves a lot of time for voters to forget about the convention mess. I hope that wouldn’t happen, but, of course, no one knows.
Kasich is now the only establishment candidate left. Hopefully he picks up most of Rubio’s support.
Brokered GOP convention is 43% according to Predicit. Trump’s odds of being the nominee? 69%.
If Cruz is going to do something in Missouri, it’d better happen quickly.
He’s 0.6% behind, but it’s the congressional districts that matter there. Cruz can still win more delegates even if he loses Missouri depending on where his support was.
0.1 percent now; some 300 votes out of 300,000.
Trump “officially” at the halfway-point to the nomination.
Something like a little bit pregnant . . .
:eek: It’s Alive!
Second that; good actor, awful governor.