From the haphazard way the scarf is on, it seems to me that someone in the crowd gave it to her and she put it on without really paying attention.
Either way, it’s kind of a stupid thing to notice/care about.
Yeah, it’s completely trivial, granted. Still, after all the laser-like media scrutiny that’s been devoted to the issue of whether, when, and why Obama will or will not wear a flag lapel pin, the question of why Palin is wearing a Democratic-themed scarf seems almost substantive by comparison.
Well, I guess I mean that if you see that these states have gone for Obama, you can safely begin to party because it’s almost assured that he’ll win the Presidency. I was just trying to find an East-coast win situation where an extremely conservative estimate of the rest of the states will still guarantee a win. The West Coast, Hawaii and Illinois is what I consider as close to a political certainty as anything else.
The AP says it’s Obama by one. They also say that it “matches what Dems and Reps have said privately.” What significance does that bear? Are internal polls a better indicator of “real” feeling in the general populace than outsiders’ polls? (An AOL story pondering this point.)
Oh, and a conservative claim that the polls are all wrong!
It lets the author write a story about how close the election is, and bury this remark down in the seventh paragraph:
I find it impossible to believe that 13 percent of voters are still undecided or are going for a third party. I find the conclusion that McCain’s support among Republicans is actually stronger than Obama’s support among Democrats to be absurd on its face, as evidenced by things like voter turnout, donations, registrations, early voting data and common sense.
All the polls… are wrong. All of them. Except the ones saying McCain is ahead. All of them. …Really.
This is the kind of person for whom Fox News was made: the person who so strongly believes the world IS a certain way, he refuses to credit any news source that says otherwise.
McCain defend Palin with this:
Amazed? Well, I guess he would be. But I don’t think that any gaffe by Biden can make up for the distance between them in qyualities for VP. Biden has far more experience and it looks like Palin’s experience has been padded. Besides, anyone that says they have foriegn experience because they can see Russia from their porch is freakin’ nuts. BTW Palin could have given even more tax dollars back by not flying her kids arounfd on the taxpayers dime.
I know the right wing will not agree with me, but I believe its more out of a “I will not admit a mistake or defeat” attitude than reality. Palin is not qualified to be president should something happen to (Heanen help us) President Mccain. Despite the other flaws I personally feel Palin has, she’s a cancer for the republicans because she’s the lowest common denominator. She has popularity with the base, she’s kinda good looking, she has the whole fundie thing…but at the end of the day she’s divisive, decietful and abusive of authority given to her. Is that what the republicans to think of them? It must be. Because if they didn’t they would endorse her so much.
McCain also said:
Since Mccain has chosen to attack Obama instead of talk about the issues, I’m not sure what his world view is apart from his voting more that 90% with Bush. And John…I really really don’t give a shit about how you think how great her famiily is. When you show up with pics of Christmas dinner with them then you can comment on how nice they are. What does that have to do with the VP slot? I only care about the fact that the VP has to step up if the prez can’t. I don’t vare too much about their family being nice.
Maybe because its obvious your campaign doesn’t want her to give interviews like that. As it has been said “Joe the Plumber has given more interviews than Palin”.
I’m not thinking that McCain ahiould admit defeat. No candidate ever does that untl election day anyway. But really…is Mccain depending on Palin to now save his capaign? If the candidate for prez has to depend on the VP candidate for votes theres a problem. Full article here.
Funny that poll. The all RV result is 47 to 37 Obama yet the LV screen they apply brings it to a one point game. So the issue comes down to the question of whether Obama supporters are very likely to stay home while McCain supporters are very likely to come out, or equally so, or the opposite. If you believe the first then this poll may not be far off. If the last (as I believe) then it is not only wrong, it is very very wrong.
Nate Silver on the very good election blog, fivethirtyeight.com, just wrote about suspcious LV models. After pointing out obvious flaws, he asked the AP pollsters to contact him directly and explain why their methodology is scientific. He also suggested they do micropolling of people who indicate they already voted in states with early voting to figure out how many would have not been considered a “likely voter” by their own definition.
I’m increasingly impressed by the breadth of his coverage and the depth of his analysis. Interestingly, he actually made his way to electoral porn (as one of my friends calls it) from a successful stat-driven baseball blog.
Somebody should start a blog to compile stats on how often this fun fact gets tossed out to the teeming millions…
(Nothing personal)
Quote:
The new AP-GfK head-to-head result is a departure from some, but not all, recent national polls.
Well, that certainly looks better than
Quote:
The new AP-GfK head-to-head result is a departure from almost all recent national polls, but we did find one that agrees with us, kind of.
That’s an interesting article. This paragraph stood out for me.
I never heard of Harold Simmons until now, but if he had financed a bunch of ads for Obama, we wouldn’t hear the end of him. George Soros is like the boogie man of the right, but has he financed millions of dollars in attack ads? It’s another case of…it’s ok if conservatives do it [whatever] but not when liberals do it.
Leaper’s link was interesting too. It all sounded very reasonable and intelligent until this paragraph:
That whole thing made me laugh out loud. More cognitive dissonance.
Chuck Todd claims that there is real tension between McCain and Palin–and they also lack chemistry (forgive the Dkos link, but it includes the vid and the trasncript). My favorite part: *you almost wonder why they wanted them sitting next to each other. *
snorts and mayhem.
mccain met her twice before picking her, has gotten a lot of flak for picking her, and she is dragging down his numbers.
why would he be comfortable with her? he has to play the hand he dealt himself.
No, no, he’s really (wince) proud of her (blink blink blink). That’s what he said on TV, anyway.
Are we sure it’s not sexual tension?
ew.
Seems like he may not be even mildly forked.
AP SHOCK POLL: OBAMA, MCCAIN EVEN…
Sure, other polls differ, but all my instincts tell me this ain’t over yet by any means, and Obama supporters would be foolish to count their chickens just yet. (Many of them seem to think the election is all but won.)
Look up just a tiny bit, posts #405-412, for discussion on this same issue.