Thanks! I think I’ll still vote on Nov 4, though. I have to work tomorrow…
Obama is finally going after Palin – and this without even mentioning her name and with only McCain speaking apparently.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/
Good strategic I’d say.
And meanwhile look at this state polling coming in today …
This is kind of ideal, I think. Let’s hear about the polls tightening nationally, so that people still want to vote. Meanwhile the state polls are nice and blue. I think McCain’s message is only gaining real traciton where he already had traction.
The state polls do indeed look great. Though I am a bit skeptical that Obama is really 12 points ahead in PA when he only appears to be around 6 points ahead nationally.
Overall I get the impression that the polls are all over the place. Obama is ahead and will probably win but there is still a fair amount of uncertainty over the whole thing.
Ahhh, hell! “Good strategy” or “Good and strategic,” take your pick.
Gallup’s numbers are out. Their traditional poll has widened slightly to a 3 point lead for Obama while their expanded model is unchanged at 7 points.
My issue with Rasmussen is that they modify their LV screen on the fly. That may give them the best chance to be calling it the closest but it makes day to day comparisons less meaningful as the changes may more reflect refinements of their modelling than changes in the raw data. Gallup is more transparent with their LV screen and therefore day to day number comparisons means more for trending purposes … but which LV screen is more accurate?
Will Hispanics come out in numbers this time or not? Will marginal McCain supporters not bother or come out? The margin of Obama’s win hangs in the balance.
Why one over the other? My guess is that Crist is interested (for whatever reason) in making sure everybody who wants to vote can vote. But certain members of the GOP seem to believe that this is heralding McCain’s doom in Florida.
Just as further illustration of how much the issue is one of who is actually a likely voter is this from Gallup’s daily comments.
So among those who have voted Obama is significantly ahead. Among all RVs he’s significantly ahead. His lead only narrows when you start to assume that certain people who have not yet voted but who intend to will not, and how you categorize those folks is where the variablity creeps in.
Please use this to send a reminder to your friends to vote!! (It’s a hoot.)
it appears that mccain is going back to the national security tact.
John Ratzenberger AND Victoria Jackson?! Add in Kelsey Grammer and my memories of the 80s will never be the same.
For what it’s worth, some inside dope from my local rag:
Maybe “if for some reason Obama doesn’t win” they would run a special edition on Thursday about how the election was stolen…
“tack”
Please.
Thank you.
That was tact.
Huh. They don’t think there’s a market for a McCain Special Commemorative Edition Newspaper in San Francisco? Go figure.
Those damn capitalists!!!
I think that decision was probably made by the Marxeting Department.
“Another Old White Guy Becomes Pres”…nothing to see here. Story on page 12.
I’m thinking of the scene in Citizen Kane, where the editors make the choice to go with “Fraud at the Polls”. This would all tie together so neatly if William Randolph Hearst had been associated with the SF Chronicle. But he ran the SF Examiner, unfortunately.
Today’s electoral-vote.com forkage:
It’s even worst than that, he’s (nearly) dead Jim!
In order to win, McCain would need to do ALL of the following:
Maintain his lead in the “weak GOP” states: AZ, SD, MS, WV
Maintain his lead in the “barely GOP” state: GA
Take all of the tied states: MO, ND, MT
Take all of the “barely Dem” states: FL, NC, IN
Take all of the “weak Dem” states: VA, OH, CO, NV
In other words, he has to run the board of every single state except those that are currently listed as “strong Dem” (10% or greater lead in polls)