I’ve always wondered exactly how much it takes to run a full-tilt campaign. Will Obama blow through every penny that he raised and “go broke”? Would McCain end up having leftover money?
The context reads to me as if he meant to say “my fellow Americans.” I submit that the nature of this mental slip reveals that McCain believes America to be a prison and yearns to be set free from the bonds of citizenship. 
I’m Captain Carrot, and I heartily endorse this product and/or service.
I heard an interesting theory tonight from Gov. Mike Easley of NC that is exactly the opposite of the Bradley effect. He thinks that a lot of good ol’ boy types who have fallen on hard economic times will never, ever admit they are thinking of voting for Obama, and yet that is exactly what they will do in the privacy of the voting booth on Nov. 4th.
I’m not going to argue that the Republicans weren’t due for a reality check, but at this point I almost have to feel sorry for the guy. (At the very least, he should be resentful that Dubya got a free ride for years and years while he’s not even going to be elected at all.)
He’s not charismatic, Bush is a 10-ton albatross around his neck, he has no compassion whatsoever for our armed forces dying for no purpose in Iraq, he doesn’t have any realistic solutions, the media’s sick of propping him up, and he’s freakin’ old. What the hell does he have going for him, other than racism, ignorance, and blind loyalty? And how would you like knowing that that’s your only shot at victory?
Damn. Retribution can be cold, but this is North Pole territory. BEFORE all the global warming.
Fear.
The Wikipedia page on this is well cited and it does point out why the Bradley effect could be gone and the doubts of it being a factor today:
I do think that even if the Bradley effect is present, it will be overwhelmed by people going for the reverse of the effect and by the ground campaign.
So McCain has three chief weapons…
Four. Four chief weapons…
But the only thing we…
Wait. I see what you did there.
Obama has basically called McCain out:
So, does he knock it off with the mudslinging (giving up his last remaining weapon), does he take it direct to the debates (and repel everyone outside his hardcore base), or does he keep doing what he’s doing now (and look like a total chickenshit coward)?
I never expected the Spanish… to still be so upset after McCain dissed their prime minister.
There’s an interesting article on the alleged Bradley effect over at FiveThirtyEight.com, which includes a look at the Democratic primary polls versus the actual results. The author’s point in looking at Democrats is that in his opinion, the presence of a Bradley effect would be more pronounced in those who’d feel obligated to lie about voting for Obama. Republicans and, to a lesser degree, Independents, would need no excuse for voting for McCain other than their party affiliation. Secretly racist Dems would probably have a more acute guilt feeling.
To be honest, I don’t buy the Bradley effect either. There are reasons to vote for McCain – of course, I think they’re absolute bullshit and no one woith a brain would believe 'em, but that’s my obvious and cheerfully admitted prejudice – so why would someone seriously bother lying about their actual vote to some pollster? If they’re actually feeling guilty about being a racist, they could just pretend to be like so many other McCain voters and say they’re voting for him ‘cause of his experience and maverickism and good ol’ fashioned Christian values or whatever is passing for an excuse in their wee tiny brainlets.
Well-played.
Really? There’s a thread in IMHO where lots of people are proudly proclaiming that they lie to pollsters. Threads like that and also the one where people are proudly proclaiming that they don’t vote, plus other factors, bolster my certainty that McCain will win in a landslide of epic proportions. I don’t care what the polls say. Polls lie, because people lie.
I’d love to be wrong, but there’s nothing I’m reading or hearing anywhere that gives me actual hope that Obama will win. If I foolishly start feeling optimistic, there’s always a thread in IMHO that will bring me back down to earth.
Well, just ask yourself this: why did they not lie when the contest was between Obama and Clinton?
What would make you change your mind? Or is that impossible until he actually wins?
It could be that it was a choice between two minorities. Voting for Hillary doesn’t sound inherently racist.
Though I wonder what was it about Bradley’s opponent that people could not admit they were voting for him?
First of all, as much as I would love to believe all of these polls, MSNBC has an interesting article about how these polls might be WAY off base and that the large pollsters are getting nervous. Granted, some of the errors might work in Obama’s favor, but still…
Sorry, but I still remember almost throwing up in my car on the drive home from work hearing that Florida went Democratic but then…wait, no…we have decided it is still too close to call…no, yes he won…wait…no, he didn’t win…wait, we still haven’t…
Not until I see Obama’s hand on that bible being sworn in in January will I finally crack open that bottle champagne…until then…let’s just say I have been around long enough to see every dirty thieving trick in the book, and won’t be surprised to see new, improved dirty tricks again this year.
Not quite, you are forgetting that early in the contest other white guys were eliminated, according to Equipoise’s logic Obama should never have made it.
Interesting move by Obama. He’s really betting that these attacks won’t work.
McCain has to be extremely frustrated right now. In 2000 he ran an honest campaign and lost because of some nasty attacks. Now he runs a nasty campaign and he still can’t come out ahead.
He just isn’t smart enough to see the big picture. That one, who just doesn’t understand, is clearly ten times more thoughtful and cautious than McCain.