Packers 2013 Season Review:
Overall:
Another NFC North divisional championship followed by a playoff loss. While the championship is nice, expectations are raised for the Packers so a first round playoff loss is not something to celebrate, it’s something to bemoan. Injuries were, once again, a huge factor, losing both their best player on offense (Rodgers) and their best player on defense (Matthews) for long parts of the season, and losing Sam Shields in the playoff game. A nice season (especially beating the Bears and watching the Lions self-destruct), but nowhere near the standard to which the Packers should hold themselves.
Offense:
The big story on offense was the arrival of Eddie Lacy, the PFWA Rookie of the Year. He’s fun as hell to watch run, and added some much needed balance to the offense. The loss of Randall Cobb, Jermichael Finley, Brian Bulaga, and Aaron Rodgers for chunks of the season was tough on the offense, but Jordy Nelson had a great season and the offensive line played better than in recent years (they were the 12th ranked O Line according to Pro Football Focus). Rookie LT David Bakhtiari, forced to start thanks to an injury) did well for a rookie, but really came apart and was dominated when it mattered most, against the 49ers. Still, with Lacy and some health, I expect great things next year for this offense.
Defense:
Dom Capers, once again, comes under scrutiny for another year with another sub-par defensive showing. When this team needed to count on their defense to win games, they couldn’t. An otherwise solid performance against the Niners in the playoffs was destroyed by their inability to make the big interception (Micah Hyde! Nooooooo) or stop the long 5 minute drive to win the game with the field goal. Morgan Burnett was given a long term contract and didn’t live up to it at all, and the other safety position was a rotation of bad. There were also under-performances and inconsistency all along, with Raji not being a game breaker often enough, no one stepping up as a pass rushing OLB, and Datone Jones, Jerel Worthy, and Nick Perry not being healthy/playing well enough. Still, there is some talent there (Mike Daniels may make Raji replaceable), and Johnny Jolly had a nice comeback, so there is hope for the future. If they can stay healthy and stop missing tackles that is.
Coaching:
McCarthy has done a stellar job with the offense, but his failure to deal with Rodger’s injury and the first quarter and a half of the Niners game were huge failings. There is certainly room for speculation that he is only as good as his starting QB. I also have some questions regarding his failure to develop players on the defensive side of the ball.
GM:
I’m a huge Thompson fan, but he clearly made a huge mistake in the handling of his backup QB position, a mistake that cost them quite a few games. And while I’m a fan of his draft and develop philosophy, last year (and again this year) was an excellent time to make a free agent move to get more talent on the defensive side of the ball (it sure would have been nice to have a John Abraham or Glenn Dorsey this year. And why the fuck didn’t they give Kerry Rhodes a look?). Still, it’s hard not to cut him some slack considering the talent he’s drafted have been injured. First rounders Brian Bulaga, Derrick Sherrod, and Nick Perry have all missed significant time, second rounders Jerel Worthy and Casey Heyward likewise.
Offseason outlook:
Their biggest immediate issue is which of their free agents will be signed long term, which will test their market value, and who might return cheaply. Elderly Ryan Pickett, BJ Raji, Jermichael Finley, James Jones, Sam Shields, John Kuhn, and Evan Dietrich Smith are the big names who are unrestricted and need to be considered. Personally, I think Shields and Dietrich Smith are the must haves, while a soft market hopefully will keep Pickett around. Finley is a tough call and Kuhn is a fan favorite, but not irreplaceable. Raji will be an interesting decision, with the cost/benefit analysis being a bit out of my league. He’s pretty important, but if he expects a huge payday, the Packers might let him go. If Jolly resigns and the Packers have faith in Mike Daniels, they may make Raji expendable.
As far as their draft needs, safety is a huge need, with Burnett not rising to his paycheck and McMillan and Jennings sucking and Richardson being injured. With Finley looking like he’ll be gone and his backup Quarless being an unremarkable free agent, they could look at the TE position (although I like that Brandon Bostick, if he can develop). Finally, the Packers have shown you can’t have enough D linemen or OLB’s.
Final thoughts:
All told, a pretty good season that fell short of the desired result. A 3 point loss at home in the first round of the playoffs was tough to handle; great teams win those games. I had predicted an 11-5 record (I did not predict an injury to Rodgers though), and they were well short of that, but they did the NFC North title. And as always, there is hope for next year.