I have a nagging feeling the Bills are going to play incredibly dominantly for the remainder of the season only to fall short of the playoffs in Week 17 anyhow due to factors out of their control and then bitterly rue their snatching-defeat-from-jaws-of-victory against Denver and Philly.
Hey, the Patriots were trailing the Falcons 28-3 with about 6 minutes left in the 3rd quarter of Super Bowl LI. Their chances of winning the game were 0.2%. So, you always have a chance until you no longer have a chance.
They’ll probably lose to Dallas all right, but when the Lions are 10-4 and their nearest NFC North rival (Vikes) are 7-7…you got this division basically sewn up.
Imagine - if you were a Vikings fan, would you bet any money on the Vikes winning three in a row and the Lions losing three in a row? That’s what it would take.
But…I don’t know what it is, but the Lions have had a heck of a time beating division rivals. Their last three divisional games (Bears - Packers - Bears) resulted in, respectively, a near-miracle comeback in the last 4 minutes to win, then two ugly losses. After the last Bears loss, one of the announcers said something to the effect of “looks like the Lions’ divisional rivals are just too familiar with their playcalling.” Assuming he was being serious, I don’t know if I buy that. Every team watches video of every upcoming rival, I’m sure, no matter their division. And even if it was true that division rivals are more familiar with each others’ plays, that should go both ways and negate any advantage.
So whether or not there’s reason to worry, I’m less concerned with the Lions playing the Cowboys than the two remaining games against the Vikings.
Considering that two of these three games are the Lions facing the Vikings, this scenario is not that far-fetched. The Lions are certainly a better team than the Vikes, but as @solost has stated, the Lions have struggled in divisional games this year. And Dallas, who hosts Detroit, is undefeated at home. The Vikings host the Packers in their other game.
So, yeah, I wouldn’t be raising the divisional crown flag just yet.
Rams leading Saints 17-7 right now at the half. This game is big for both; I recall reading that both teams’ playoff chances would improve to 70% with a win but drop to 20% with a loss; something like that.
Right now, the Lions are the #3 seed and the Rams are the #6 seed, which means they would face each other if the playoffs started tomorrow. That would be an interesting matchup, as each quarterback used to play for the other team.
Steelers are ripping the Bengals right now. But it might not do them much good. NFL’s stats analysis tool says that even if Pittsburgh wins today, the Steelers will still stand only a 12% chance of making the playoffs.
With the Bengals losing, the Bills now have a much better chance to make the playoffs. So of course they play like crap, but still manage to beat the Chargers on a late field goal. Bills have games against the Pats and Fins remaining on their schedule. Per ESPN, they need to win their last two games and have either the Colts or Texans lose at least one game.