NFL Picks - Week 17

Last desperate gasp at the final week of the regular season. It’s my last chance to get some of my money back for the season, so here’s hoping that I can pull something out of my ass.

Saturday Games
Philadelphia @ N.Y. Giants 12:30pm (Philadelphia by 2)
I think Philly wins this one going away, but the Giants have been feisty since Fassell took the offensive reigns. Both teams have alot to play for, so I don’t expect anyone to be looking forward. I think Philly wins and covers, but I’m a little scared to make it an OMNI- pick. We’ll see.

**Kansas City @ Oakland 4:00pm (Oakland by 7)
I think the wheels will come off completely for the Chiefs without Holmes. But then again 7 points is a big spread against a pretty good offensive system, even without their best player. Again, I’m a little cautious as far as staking money on it, especially since its a ugly 7 point spread. For the record Raiders win and cover.

Sunday Games
Atlanta @ Cleveland 12:00pm (Atlanta by 2½)
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 12:00pm (Pittsburgh by 7½)
Carolina @ New Olreans 12:00pm (New Olreans by 7)
Cincinnati @ Buffalo 12:00pm (Buffalo by 7)
Dallas @ Washington 12:00pm (Washington by 6½)
Miami @ New England 12:00pm (Pick 'Em)
Minnesota @ Detroit 12:00pm (Minnesota by 3½)
Tennessee @ Houston 12:00pm (Tennessee by 8½)
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis 3:05pm (OFF)
Arizona @ Denver 3:15pm (Denver by 11)
Green Bay @ N.Y. Jets 3:15pm (N.Y. Jets by 1½)
Seattle @ San Diego 3:15pm (San Diego by 3)
**Tampa Bay @ Chicago 7:30pm (OFF)

Monday Night Football
**San Francisco @ St. Louis 8:00pm (OFF)

Eh, what the hell. Here’s my Pick 5 for the last week of the year. Go me!

**
Philadelphia -2.0
Buffalo -7.0
Miami +0.0
Minnesota -3.5
Green Bay +1.5
**

[sub]BTW, sorry about that coding[/sub]

Well seeing as it’s after the hald in the NY/Philly contest I won’t make a prediction on it but here’s a quick pick on the others, sans commentary.

Oakland
Atlanta
Baltimore
New Orleans
Buffalo
Washington
Miami
Detroit
Tennesee
Jax
Denver
Jets
San Diego
San Francisco

Now bring on the play offs!

Regular season-ending bandwagon picks. I know it’s pretty much settled at this point, but…eh. Closure.

1. Bengals
Because. They got the #1 draft pick pretty much sewn up, no team deserves to go 2-14, and this would be JUST DESSERTS for the Bills for letting me down seemingly every damn week.

Yeah, yeah, “just a sympathy pick”. Whatever.

2. Eagles
The bandwagon’s tearing full steam ahead, and there’s no sign of it slowing down.

UPDATE: Yeah, I know, they lost. Big deal, as long as they beat 'em when it counts.

3. Dolphins
If they win, they take the AFC East outright, and that eliminates approximately 30,000 “scenarios” right there. Go Fish!

4. Colts
Why not give this scrappy bunch 10 wins and wipe out another 8,000 or so scenarios right there?

5. Packers
I believe, Brett! I believe! Now don’t screw up again!

Final standings:
First place: Eagles - 29
Second place: Buccaneers - 20.5
Third place: Dolphins - 20
Fourth place: Bills - 17
Fifth place: Packers - 15.5

And DKW’s Bandwagon Team of the Year for 2002, by a very comfortable margin, is the Philadephia Eagles! Which is impressive in itself, because I didn’t even have them in my top ten at the start of the season.

Okay, that settles it! The next time I’m at Sports Authority, I’m getting a replica Eagles jersey. And I’m wearing it proudly until…well, at least until the end of the playoffs. And probably the offseason as well.

Will be starting the big playoff thread in a few days.

I know I haven’t set foot in these threads since Thanksgiving, but I just wanted to say.
WOO HOO!

That is all.

Just want to mention that I’m in love with Biggirl and her Jets for helping my Bucs get the BYE and second overall seed in the playoffs. Chad Pennington is a stud, which is a strange thing to say of anyone with an old money sounding name like Chad Pennington. As for the Bucs, Brian Kelly and Brad Johnson are the two most deserving guys NOT on the NFC Pro Bowl team. Michael Vick? Gimme a break, the kid’s got talent and will probably be a huge factor in the future but he doesn’t have the numbers to justify a Pro Bowl selection. BTW, Brad Johnson should probaby be the NFL MVP since you’ve seen how pathetic the Bucs have looked without him.

Omni, sorry about your picks again this week. I’ve been mostly away from the Boards for the past 10 days or so and couldn’t get anything in here before now.

DKW, you had a few misses at the end there, too, but an interesting approach at handicapping to be sure. I hope we can get some people interested in talking about the playoffs!

I’m so happy this season of pain is over…

What a horrible year I had. This week made it official. I had a wonderful shot at getting some money back this week. Both if I had gone 5-0 this week, or (since it rolled last week) if I had the best combined total over the 2 week span would have netted me a nice little payday. Considering I was one of only 4 players coming into this week after a 4-1 week my odds were decent. Just going 3-2 might have scored me a share. Then reality sets in and I tank by going 1-4. What a pisser, eh?

Its been a seriously horrible football season. The Bears sucked complete ass, and I donated my cash to the cause with not one single payday or hope of competing for the overall. My fantasy league was occasionally interesting, however it reaked of parity and my barely over .500 team squeeked into the playoffs, only to be completely white washed in the playoffs coming in 4th. I never really competed in the confidence league, and I was wrong much more often than I was right in this chain of threads. Hell, I didn’t even inspire much heckling or humor. Oh, and the fucking Packers won the division.

So, I’m left looking to next year, The Bears were bad, but not bad enough to secure Carson Palmer (the only apparent franchise QB available) in the draft (The 4th or 5th pick seems a little high for guys like Gesser, Dorsey, Leftwich or Banks…who conjours up fears of an Akili-like scenario). Shoop will probably be gone at least, but Jauron will stay and after watching him cling to Shoop for as long as he did makes me really question his sanity. Lets hope the Bears have a little cap space and can sign Plummer, and not some second-rate retread like Chandler again. Frighteningly names like Delhomme and Ramsey have been bounced around as potential solutions. Lets hope they’ve earned back a little of that injury karma after a season like this one. One last thing, there’s a rumor of some new building being done down on the lake come next August, it’s hyped as “a flyng saucer crashed into the parthenon”. Those are some warm fuzzy feelings I’m getting.

On to the fantasy world. I’m a little peeved at the guys who’ve run my Pick 5 pool. I love playing it, but the guys whoadminister it aren’t friends of mine. Just some acquaintences met through a mutual friend. Anyways, each year the number of “commishoners/administrators/helpers” seem to grow and more people are playing for free. Its too much money to be frivolous about. It wouldn’t piss me off so much if the website they built this year was half way decent and the guys at least updated the results somewhere in the ballpark of consistently and got the spreads out reliably. As a result I’m definately following through on the threat I made at the end of last season to create and administer my own league next year. Might be a little work, and might take me a little time to build up the number of players these guys have, but what the hell.

Ditto on the fantasy leagues. I’ve got to get off my ass and put together a IRL fantasy league with friends. Gonna do it with style, have a live in-person draft party with booze and strippers. Consistent trash talk and a cash prize at the end. I’d better start doing my pre-draft research now :).

It’s been a blast doing these threads when I had the time to really make it good. However once my apathy and schedule started getting in the way it was really pathetic. Thanks lots to all you guys who hung in with me until the end, and even to all those who have been reading or popping in occasionally.

I suppose I might gather the strength to make some bold claims as to the upcoming playoffs.

Okay…to reiterate again, my bandwagon picks are only who I want to win that week. So they’re not that serious. (How my picking two different teams that already lost by the time I was making the post failed to drive that home is beyond me.) And I’m not too concerned about missing, because I know it’s gonna happen, and nothing I can do but stop rooting for that team.

Ah, heck with it. Next time don’t even put up numbers. That should do it.

Anyway, to close out on a positive, or at least positivish note, here are my top 5 games of the week:

5. Broncos 37, Cardinals 7
A classic example of Cards late season football. Completely meaningless game, out of the playoffs since the start of the Christmas shopping season, completely meaningless game. And they still tank. And because this gives them a chance at a higher draft pick, that’s the right thing to do.

Jesus footballin’ Christ. How the hell does this ridiculous excuse for a franchise get fans?

4. Jets 42, Packers 17
If ever a game completely illustrated how this insane season has gone, this is it. The Jets, who weren’t even supposed to be contending, and in an absolute must-win game against a powerhouse, absolutely MOP THE FLOOR with them. At around week 4 or 5, Tom Jackson mentioned how desperate they were to find “something, anything, that they’re good at”. And they found it. I can’t explain it. The Jets themselves couldn’t explain it.

(Like we needed any more proof that Bill Parcells was just in the right place at the right time. “Turns horrible teams into champs” my butt.)

3. Buccaneers 15, Bears 0
“With a win, the Bucs clinch the #2”…yeah yeah, blah blah blah. The real story, of course, is the ending of The Curse. I mentioned how there are certain things in the NFL that always happen, right? It doesn’t matter if the Packers have twenty Hall of Famers, when they enter the Metrodome, they are toast from the first snap. Same with the Buccaneers never winning in sub-40 degree weather. Well, one wonderful, magical Sunday night, they not only got the win, but a shutout. There’s hope for this crazy league yet.

2. Browns 24, Falcons 16
No mountains of confusing scenarios. No cheerleading for other teams. No silly math. None of this “backing in” BS. The Cleveland Browns got into the playoffs the way a team should…by playing hard, never giving up, never letting up until the final second, and winning their game. Remember, all the Falcons had to do was run out the clock. But this, probably the grittiest AFC North squad of all, refused to lie down, refused to believe that they didn’t have a chance. It culminated, fittingly enough, in two straight completely dead stops of Warrick Dunn.

The Browns, who suffered an almost endless run of bad luck for an eternity, are in the playoffs.

And I don’t care if you’re the biggest Steelers fan on the planet, you gotta love it.

1. Patriots 27, Dolphins 24
Q: How the HELL did the Dolphins lose??
A: Simple. They Dolphinned the game.

An excruciatingly painful recap, and I’m not even a Dolphins fan.

4:59 to go - Olindo Mare, who missed a 47-yard field goal earlier, makes good here. Dolphins are up by 11. All they have to do is not give up two touchdowns or a touchdown with a 2-point conversion and a field goal in five minutes, and they’re in the playoffs.

2:46 - A somewhat ticky-tack pass interference penalty (is it just me, or do the Patriots get a LOT of these?) leads to a Patriots touchdown, and Christian Fauria is left absolutely untouched in the end zone for the creamcuff deuce. Lead now 3.

Okay, no need to panic. You still have the lead, so all you need to do is take the kickoff and run out the clock. One first down will do it. If you can’t run it out, get a good punt and pin them deep, and it might be enought ow in.

Ensuing kickoff - Oh my god…don’t tell me that the Dolphins assumed…assumed! ASSUMED!!…that it’d be an onside kick and didn’t leave even one man deep! Morons, morons, MORONS! Don’t take a crazy gamble with the game still far from decided, especially when it’s vital to your playoff chances (did I mention this already?)! Well, they assumed, and…it definitely did not go well for them. Dolphins pinned on the 4.

Okay…no need to panic. You can still win by running out the clock. If not, run as much time off as possible, then get a BIG punt and stuff them flat-out stone cold on defense, and pray that Vinateri misses. It’s a lot harder now, but it’s still winnable.

Ensuing possession - Knowing that running out the clock is absolutely crucial now, here’s how the drive went:

1st down: Incomplete pass.
2nd down: Incomplete pass.
3rd down: Busted play; scramble for 7 yards.

What the FREAK?? I’ve had muscle spasms that took more time than this drive! Like, you couldn’t give Ricky Williams the ball even once? You know, your best runner? Even if he’s completely stuffed, that’s still better than a freaking INCOMPLETE PASS!

2:18 - All right, I don’t have to tell you that Dolphins are in serious trouble now, and there’s a chance they might lose this outright. Now, let’s say that you’re a punter in this situation. Youre team’s on the 11. It’s a win-and-in game for your team, so you really, really want to make this punt count. What do you do?

a) Kick it to the moon. Get it as damn far down the field as you possibly can.
b) Kick it a little lower than usual, aim away from the return man, and hope that he misses it and it gets a good roll.

Well, if you’re Dolphins punter Mark Royals, you go for c) Do a titanic flub job that’d make a JV player die of embarrassment and give the Patriots excellent field position while running barely enough time off to kick yourself.

1:09 - Adam Vinateri nails the 43-yarder, and the Dolphins meltdown is complete.

I remember mentioning something a long time ago about the Lions making several million blunders in the final minutes to kill any chance of a comeback. Well, this…a game where the Dolphins led by 11 points, and EVERYTHING was on the line…just blows it away.

I look at teams like the Bengals and wonder how they get fans. I look at teams like the Dolphins and wonder how they avoid losing all their fans.

Yep, the good times pretty much began and end in that damn '72 season I’m never going to hear the end of, huh? :slight_smile:


Thank you, you’ve been a great audience the whole season. Really. And I can’t wait to get started on my playoff picks. (And they won’t even be bandwagon picks. Yeah, I’m feelin’ good.)

Would you believe I ran into Titan’s quarterback Steve McNair in the hair and nails salon at Dillards?

Go Packers!

Damn, damn, damn Packers.

DAMN Packers.

That is all.

P.S.: Ha Ha, Miami.