I think it’s a great way to judge the quality of an offense / defense, without including the impact of “speed of play”.
You don’t win because you score lots of points, you win because you score more points than your opposition. If you score more points per possession, and possession basically trades back and forth evenly, you’re going to win.
I disagree with Rex because their problem isn’t failing to get “enough” possessions (teams trade possessions pretty evenly), it’s that their defense gives up too many points per possession.
I checked out the stats Denver has had 17 possessions vs 18 for their opponents, and one of their opponents possessions started with about 3 seconds left in the half.
Apparently the last time they didn’t score in the first 6 quarters of the season was 1934 (they didn’t score until the 8th quarter) and that year they won the NFL championship. So big blue fans don’t need to give up yet.
I felt like this was a team that should win 9 and maybe more. After last week I wasn’t sure at all though. I started being afraid last year was a fluke.
I think he said they had only six possessions last week.
Your point is sound, though, that it goes back and forth. The biggest gap I can envision is having one fewer drive than your opponent in the half they received the kickoff, and then an even number of drives in the half you received the kickoff. Two fewer drives if it goes to overtime, they win the coin toss and then win the game with a score.
There’s also the point that it’s not always your defense being unable to get off the field that limits your possessions. Sometimes, your offense deliberately eats up the clock to keep the other team’s offense on the sideline. The Giants won at least half of their Superbowls with exactly that strategy: In 1990 against the k-gun offense of the Bills, and then in 2007 against the undefeated Patriots.
Precisely. “Number of possessions” is never a stat that’s cited because it’s meaningless. In football you take turns, so you’re never going to have many more or less than your opponent.
Now, time of possession matters. The offense’s job is to stay on the field until they score, and the defense’s job is to get off the field to give their offense a chance to score. And generally, if you keep a defense on the field longer it tends to get worn out and perform worse, while offenses don’t typically have that issue. So when a team has a longer time of possession that usually means they are doing better.
Ultimately all that matters in the end is points, because whether you win or lose is based entirely on that. But there are stats like time of possession, yards gained, number of sacks, turnover differential, those give you a good idea of where a team’s strengths and weaknesses are outside of the score itself.
Our winner of the Bill Romanowski Evil Asshat of the Week goes to Kareem Jackson. Late, dirty hit knocks Logan Thomas out, and that’s a week after another of his dirty hits took out Jacobi Myers with a concussion. He needs to be suspended. Fuck him.
You think so? I thought the most definitive replay clearly showed that the ballcarrier’s (offensive lineman!) elbow was down before the ball crossed the line to gain, and the spot after the replay was correct.
Packers Pro Bowl offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins suffered an MCL sprain in his left knee during Sunday’s loss to the Falcons, and is expected to miss several weeks. It appears to have been a “friendly fire” injury, occurring as Packers running back A.J. Dillon landed on Jenkins’ leg during a second-quarter play.
All Monday Night Football games will be broadcast on ABC this fall. As someone too cheap principled to pay for ESPN, I’m happy even if I feel like I’m somehow crossing a picket line by watching.
Nitpick but they’re calling tonight’s two-game MNF lineup a “doubleheader,” which seems incorrect to me. I understand a “doubleheader” to be two games played in succession, not at the same time, usually in the same venue, if not the same teams. Maybe it’s just me, I could be wrong. Perhaps that is just the baseball definition?
Well, it is the original definition, sports-wise. But, TV networks, and the league, have used “doubleheader” for televising two consecutive NFL games for a long time; on Sundays, Fox and CBS alternate in offering “doubleheader Sunday,” meaning that most* viewers at home will be able to watch both an early (1pm ET) game, and a late (3:25pm ET) game on the same station.
And, of course, those are always being played in two separate stadiums, with two separate pairs of teams, because the NFL never has teams playing twice on the same day.
*- I say “most,” because if you live in an NFL team’s home market, and they are playing at home on Sunday afternoon (either early or late), neither Fox nor CBS will run another game in your market in the other afternoon slot, even if it’s that network’s “doubleheader Sunday.”