Nov '04 Election Comments Thread

nicto

(nick’ toe)

I got a half a bottle of this here tea if ya want a shot lno

Why aren’t they calling Florida for Bush yet?

With 94% of precints reporting, it’s fairly obvious now.

The other Texas tea- Lawn Guyland tea + tequila.

In Florida now it’s 95% of precincts, Bush leading 3,481,000 to 3,178,000. How many votes are left in those 5% of precincts? And even if they go 60-70% to Kerry, what does that yield?

I’m way less worried about Ohio than I am about Wisconsin. What is going on there? They don’t seem to have the same real-time reporting as Ohio, so it’s hard to see if Bush’s lead there is happening for the same reason as Ohio–namely, the Bush-heavy parts of the state have reported first.

I don’t think Kerry can with without Wisconsin at this point, regardless of Ohio.

Before the counting begins for my former home state, I just wanted to say HAWAII IN PLAY MY ASS.

All my stupid fellow Filipino-Americans can go back to Russia. First my mom likes The Passion, and now this.

–p

Look at Milwaukee. Kerry is still in good shape there.

Anyone else rooting for the 269-269 tie?

Well, it’s getting down to the nuts and bolts now. Kerry can lose Alaska (a given), Nevada (we’ll see), and either Ohio or Florida, but nothing else. I’m beginning to get seriously tense.

New Mexico: Bernalillo and Sandoval counties are not colored in yet. If the Democrats are to take NM that’s where I’d expect their remaining strength to be.

Based on electoral-vote.com, if Bush and Kerry trade Fla and Ohio, and NJ goes Kerry, and all else stays as predicted, it would be Kerry 270, Bush 269

CNN is saying 52%, now.

I just noticed that if all the other states stay the same as in 2000, but New Hampshire swings over to Kerry, Kerry wins. Be a nice little bit of irony if that happened while we were all watching the big states…

Except that that is impossible. Do you mean 270-268?

  • court battles = riots and looting

If so, do they fight to the death?

not really but I’ll take it as opposed to a Bush win.

You’ve got one vote too many. You’re probably giving Kerry one too many from Maine.

So far there appears to be no Nader spoiler factor anywhere; he’s not cost Kerry enough votes in any state thus far to have made the difference. Is that the consensus?

Does that take the effect of the population changes as a result of the 2000 census into consideration?