Nov '04 Election Comments Thread

That still doesn’t get you up to 500,000 Caphis. Further, Kerry would need 75% to have a chance of winning. It’s not going to happen.

Edwards saying that they will wait another night.

By whose count? CNN shows the difference at about 120K at this point.

When I posted that, the number remaining to be counted added to the provisionals and the military votes was about 500,000 - 600,000, according to CNN. You realize that thousands of votes come in every minute, don’t you?

No but the Rep. SoS of Ohio said on CNN the uncounted + provisionals could be 400, 000 - 550,000.

By law if the provisional votes have to be counted it will be in 11 days.

President 97% of precincts reporting

Bush Rep 2,706,778
Kerry Dem 2,581,451

Bush is up by 125,000 in Ohio. Will be a huge deficit to overcome. This isn’t like Florida.

I’m starting to see a clear difference between Republicans and Democrats (maybe it’s the hour). Democrats would rather be “right” than win. Republicans would rather win than be “right”. Guess which path leads to electoral victories?
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Guess which path undermines democracy and destroys freedom?

No one said it would be easy. :smiley:

We were, however, discussing the provissional ballots and not the remaining 3% of precincts who have not reported. Kerry would need to win a huge majority to have a chance and I don’t see that happening.

Kerry lead in WI down to 16,000 - 87% reporting

even IF Kerry does win Ohio it’ll be a tie…that means Bush wins doesn’t it?

Matbe I misunderstood what I JUST saw…but Brokaw JUST NOW said that the popular vote was so close as to be negligible. I just saw Edwards taking about THEY are winning Ohio.

okay a new prediction “as I type” just predicts…a lead of about 120K votes :confused: fukit…nobody knows right now.

Brokaw is a desperate man.

What is the population of Ohio?

Every state that didn’t just go to Kerry (MI, MN, HI) is way too close to call.

Well okay I don’t feel great about Ohio. But we’ll see goddamnit.

–p

Are there substantial numbers of as-of-yet-uncounted provisional ballots in NM, NV, and IA?

Yeah, it’s Hobbes’ choice and a bit of a corner that the Republicans have painted the Democrats into. Dems have not done nearly as good a job of defining the issues to their advantage.

Should be somewhere between 11-12 million total.

Any ideas or guesses on how MSNBC and Fox handle the Ohio situation? They have already given it to Mr Bush.

I think it would take an astonishing swing in Ohio to change things.

I’d call it:
Wisconsin - Kerry
Iowa, New Mexico - Bush
Nevada - too close, but most likely Bush
Ohio goes to Bush barring a last minute miracle.