Well, I’ve been purged, so to speak: I’m leaving for Baikonur tonight (to return a busted ass satellite back to the USA after the election), and my absentee ballot will not arrive till tomorrow (in spite of an overnighting a change of address last week).
Rats. 
Update on Rockingham county, NC. The country road seems to be popping up a lot more McCain/Palin road signs. So it’s indicative to me the race will close.
Early voting began on Monday here. I went by today, around 2:30 pm, expecting I could breeze in and vote. The parking lot was full, there was a long line, and several people heading from their cars to join the line. There is a lot of junk on the Florida ballot, so I think it’s going to take each person more than five minutes to vote. I’ll try again early tomorrow morning and see if it’s any better.
In 2004 I tried to vote early in arkansas, but the line was about 200 people and I gave up. So I went back on election day and everyone had already voted–took about 5 minutest to get in!
We’ve sent our absentee ballots in to Nevada… 2 votes for Obama… and $60 in DHL fees since the post is is so unreliable.
Just checking in to say that on the radio this morning they said that the latest AP poll has them at a dead heat- 44% for Obama, 43% for McCain.
That poll is among “likely voters”, which does not include all the newly registered voters, since that demographic has historically not shown up at the ballot box in good numbers. This year appears to be quite a different situation, unlike the youth voter registration drives for Gore and Kerry that did not produce votes.
How accurate can that be?..
It’s a national poll, so it has jack all to do with the actual election.
It was done directly after the debate and before all the Joe the Plumber nonsense blew up in McCain’s face.
Well, here in La Porte County, Indiana, there have been 4000 votes cast in advance already. There’s a small line at almost all times at the La Porte courthouse and we’re digging up some good support for Senator Obama.
In terms of red and blue states, I think Obama has a very good chance at turning Indiana blue. Come on Hoosiers!!
Wanna come over for election weekend? We’ve got some pretty decent support from Chicago…
La Porte, Indiana is a Democratic city and we need to dredge out all the votes from this area that we can to counterbalance the rest of the ruddy state.
I recently cleared election day off and I would love to come down from Chicago. I assume that contacting the campaign is the way to go here?
I certainly would if I were not in CT. My wife and I may go to PA but that’s only 4 hours away.
I remember saying to myself 8 years ago 'There’s no way the people in this country would vote for a moron like that… Gore’s a shoe-in". Then, 4 years later I was thinking ‘By now they must realize what a dumbass they put in - he’s gone for sure’…
Now I have learned my lesson and I’m not holding my breath this time. Or maybe I am.
I went and voted today (so that I’m free all day on Election Day to volunteer)!
It’s an extreme outlier. Obama’s average lead in national tracking polls is over 7 points.
I believe the AP poll is also just representative of the popular vote.
You can’t win by getting the majority of the popular vote, you have to win states (i.e. electoral votes).
Something like this show a more realistic standing.
Hi, I’m an hour and a half from Chicago. Come here! Come here!
Phlosphr: Where’s your wife’s sense of adventure?!?!
I see your poll and raise you this one:
Not to piggyback on Nate Silver, but I question IBD’s projection that McCain leads Obama among young voters by more than three to one.
“Age 18-24 has much fluctuation due to small sample size”