Yep.
You might want to listen to the next episode of Keeping it 1600. It might be interesting.
Hey, you want stomach-churning, try sitting through a referendum on whether your country is going to break up, with the final margin for “No” being less than the number of spoiled voters. :eek:
Just got home and flipped on the TV…WTF America???
Again, 538 only based on called states.
Well, no. I mean, most people only have so much on hand to work with. Polls in 2008 and 2012 actually underestimated Obama’s win and metrics like crowd size and yard signs didn’t amount to much in those elections.
I mean, you didn’t have to restrict your reading to Slate and HuffPo to think that Clinton was going to win – right leaning outlets like Real Clear Politics were suggesting the same.
According to Buzzfeed I’d best move to Canada. That surprised me; I’d thought I’d get Australia or New Zealand. They at least have a change of escaping the radioactive fallout.
NYT just said Trump 92% chance of victory.
The panic is entertaining but I really don’t think Trump will win. MI and probably WI will break for Clinton, even if by much smaller margins then they did for Obama.
91% likely to be Trump at nytimes.
I really miss George W Bush now.
In an amusing aside, Luann Bennett, who was trying to unseat freshman Rep. Barbara Comstock in VA-10, spent huge amounts of money running ads typing Comstock to Trump.
Guess it worked; Comstock won.
And they have an army?
All polls being catastrophically wrong is not living in a bubble.
With some manual adjustments for “too close to call” states like MI. But yeah, Nate Silver is publicly admitting over and over on the live blog that the live probability estimate isn’t taking into account critical information in favour of Trump.
Again, I can’t figure out what happened in Broward county. It went from 75% to 98% and the total number of votes did not change. That’s not mathematically possible.
The NYT live prediction is giving me agita: 93% Trump to win :eek:
For the first time this election, I am highly concerned. Nate Silver was right – he actually may have even underestimated the uncertainty. Wow. This sucks.
Rigged election!
-
I’m not going to freak out if I wake up tomorrow to President Donald J. Trump, but I can only look at my fellow Americans and think “What in the ever-loving fuck is wrong with you”?
-
Actually, I can’t help the feeling I’m going to sleep in Bedford Falls and waking up in Pottersville.
-
In the county-by-county stats, it’s clear that there is a war brewing between the country folk and the city folk. This separation has existed for a long time, but for whatever reason, it seems especially striking this year. I do hope that war remains metaphorical.
-
Chances are the markets will indeed tank tomorrow, just as they did in the UK immediately after the Brexit vote, but chances are good that they will recover quickly as the panic wears off, again just as they appear to have done in the UK. At least I hope so; my 401(k) is about to get hammered bigly.
From the Free Press:
Go here, scroll down, and there’s a video explaining it. Not saying it’s right, but…