Nope. C&P issue.
House: 230 D’s, 205 R’s
**Senate: ** 47 D’s, 53 R’s
**National vote: ** 52% Democratic, 44% Republican
The entries are coming in fast now!
I’m not at all confident in my picks and in fact I’d probably put the Senate at 48 if I were willing to give up my prime position. Maybe I’ll look at the list the day before and see if there’s is an combo reasonably close that hasn’t already been picked before I make a change.
It’s only your Senate number that seems improbable. Personally I think getting close early on is more impressive than being exactly right on eve of, let alone getting the split right, but the game is the game.
USCDiver 01/21/18 230 51 53
Bone 01/22/18 214 50 51
Pleonast 01/22/18 257 49 55
Dseid 01/22/18 228 49 56
Railer13 01/22/18 225 48 53
Aspenglow 01/23/18 277 52 57
adaher 01/23/18 222 45 53
BobLibDem 01/23/18 260 51 56
Johnny Ace 01/23/18 220 46 55
Wesley Clark 01/24/18 235 50 56
Ravenman 01/24/18 226 49 52
DinoR 01/25/18 238 51 52
UltraVires 01/26/18 208 46 50
D’Anconia 01/27/18 210 48 51
Yersenia Pestis 01/30/18 215 50 54
Melcalc 02/02/18 218 51 52
Silver Lining 02/16/18 209 47 49
wonky 03/04/18 219 49 52
pjacks 03/04/18 200 45 48
Sherrerd 03/05/18 201 47 53
iiandyiiii 03/15/18 241 51 55
JkellyMap 03/25/18 228 51 54
kaylasdad99 03/27/18 435 58 100
Gray Ghost 03/29/18 208 47 49
Hari Seldon 04/27/18 220 49 51
Larry Borgia 07/04/18 215 48 50
Pleonast 08/17/18 252 49 55
I Love Me, Vol 1 08/18/18 221 49 52
Big Apple Bucky 08/18/18 220 47 54
Tired and Cranky 09/13/18 228 51 54
Thing Fish 09/13/18 241 51 55
septimus 10/10/18 224 48 53
Smitty 10/16/18 219 47 51
Richard Parker 10/31/18 228 48 53
With high hope for the future, no prediction in regard to it is ventured.
My guess (probably overly-optimistic, but oh well):
- Republicans keep the House: 220 R vs 215 D
- Republicans pick up 3 Senate seats: 54 R vs 46 D
- Democrats win the popular vote (so that they have something to complain about for the next two years): 52% D vs 48% R
Yes, it is very optimistic to expect a government that depends less on the will of most people. /s
Ds
233
49
54%
About 15 hours to get your predictions in, people! Last chance is here at last!
House: 232 D, 203 R
Senate: 50 D, 50 R
Popular Vote: 54% D, 46% R
I don’t even…da fuq?..Is this Utah humor?
I’m happy with my estimate. I think there’s a systemic error in the polls, with likely voter models underestimating anti-Republican turn-out.
I think I’m happy with my estimate too. Maybe I would have gone a couple seats higher (like 231 vs 226) but I am more satisfied that I have stuck with my prediction for quite a long time.
My prediction
243: 50: 55%
These are the times that try men’s souls…
That’s what I think, too, and have obviously thought for as long as you have. This calculus has been borne out in special election after special election, by margins of 8-12%. I think Dems found their intensity after the 2016 election, and it hasn’t abated one bit. I think it has only grown.
In all candor, I think your numbers are going to be closer than mine, but I choose to remain the most hopeful liberal on the board. 
Player Date House Dem Senate Dem Vote D
USCDiver 01/21/18 230 51 53
Bone 01/22/18 214 50 51
Pleonast 01/22/18 257 49 55
Dseid 01/22/18 228 49 56
Railer13 01/22/18 225 48 53
Aspenglow 01/23/18 277 52 57
adaher 01/23/18 222 45 53
BobLibDem 01/23/18 260 51 56
Johnny Ace 01/23/18 220 46 55
Wesley Clark 01/24/18 235 50 56
Ravenman 01/24/18 226 49 52
DinoR 01/25/18 238 51 52
UltraVires 01/26/18 208 46 50
D’Anconia 01/27/18 210 48 51
Yersenia Pestis 01/30/18 215 50 54
Melcalc 02/02/18 218 51 52
Silver Lining 02/16/18 209 47 49
wonky 03/04/18 219 49 52
pjacks 03/04/18 200 45 48
Sherrerd 03/05/18 201 47 53
iiandyiiii 03/15/18 241 51 55
JkellyMap 03/25/18 228 51 54
kaylasdad99 03/27/18 435 58 100
Gray Ghost 03/29/18 208 47 49
Hari Seldon 04/27/18 220 49 51
Larry Borgia 07/04/18 215 48 50
Pleonast 08/17/18 252 49 55
I Love Me, Vol 1 08/18/18 221 49 52
Big Apple Bucky 08/18/18 220 47 54
Tired and Cranky 09/13/18 228 51 54
Thing Fish 09/13/18 241 51 55
septimus 10/10/18 224 48 53
Smitty 10/16/18 219 47 51
Richard Parker 10/31/18 228 48 53
Hurricane Ditka 11/05/18 215 46 52
Monocracy 11/05/18 233 49 54
Steve MB 11/05/18 232 50 54
Buck Godot 11/05/18 243 50 55
We have 9 hours and 24 minutes to go until the cut off, people! Last chance!
Plus, here are the averages and such:
House:
Average Pick: 231.97
Highest D Count: 277 (Aspenglow)
Lowest D Count: 200 (pjacks)
Senate:
Average Pick: 49.02
Highest D Count: 52 (Aspenglow)
Lowest D Count: 45 (adaher tied with pjacks but adaher got there first)
Vote %
Average Pick: 54.18%
Highest: 57% (Aspenglow)
Lowest: 48% (pjacks)
I discounted kaylasdad’s non-serious entry indicating that the D side would win everything, all races, all votes.
Looks like Aspenglow is our optimist and pjacks is our pessimist. Depending on one’s point of view, of course.