OK Alabama

Republicans when they lose: Why do we keep running weak, screwball candidates? This has to stop!

Republicans when they win: MAVERICK ROGE BUILD A WALL AROUND THE MOON BASE SUCK IT LIBTARDS

Sorry guys. You cheerfully rode the douchebag rocket skyward for the last 20 years. Have fun riding it into the ground for the next 20.

I got some quotes for HIS ass…

Matthew 7:21-23 “Not everyone who says to Me, Lord, Lord!’ will enter the kingdom of heaven, but only the one who does the will of My Father in heaven. On that day many will say to Me, Lord, Lord, didn’t we prophesy in Your name, drive out demons in Your name, and do many miracles in Your name?’ Then I will announce to them, I never knew you! Depart from Me, you lawbreakers!’

Matthew 23:27-28″Woe to you, teachers of the law and Pharisees, you hypocrites! You are like whitewashed tombs, which look beautiful on the outside but on the inside are full of the bones of the dead and everything unclean. In the same way, on the outside you appear to people as righteous but on the inside you are full of hypocrisy and wickedness.

Romans 10:3 Since they did not know the righteousness of God and sought to establish their own, they did not submit to God’s righteousness.

I like the next one…

Matthew 24:51 He will cut him to pieces and assign him a place with the hypocrites, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.

And as far as his constant and sickening bleating about Christians and values bullshit…

Romans 2:14-15 Even Gentiles, who do not have God’s written law, show that they know his law when they instinctively obey it, even without having heard it. They demonstrate that God’s law is written in their hearts, for their own conscience and thoughts either accuse them or tell them they are doing right.

John 4:20 If anyone says, “I love God,” and hates his brother, he is a liar; for he who does not love his brother whom he has seen cannot love God whom he has not seen.

I like this one too, as Moore apparently thought he’d never be called on his racism and child molesting…

Luke 12:2 Nothing is covered up that will not be revealed, or hidden that will not be known.
I guess those are enough.

I remember a few weeks back trump was backing Moore, saying he preferred that the people of Alabama decide whether they think Moore is guilty.

Does this count as a “guilty as charged” finding?

He meant the white people.

I have to say, this was a pleasant surprise. I assumed Moore would won.

Pardonnez-moi, he meant the white Christians. He did not, for example, mean the Jesus-hating Jewish lawyer that everyone now knows Roy Moore employs, because Moore is so not a bigot. The one Moore and his lovely wife call “Goldstein the Jew”.

I dunno. How old is the horse?

It is perhaps not surprising that the Alabama Republican Party very quickly announced their complete disinterest in any sort of recount.

They’re probably already commissioning signs for the seat in 2020 that have “S/He Is Totally Not Roy Moore” with spaces above it where you can put the candidate’s name in with a Sharpie.

Joe Biden threw out Senator Harris’s name this morning in suggesting potential Presidential candidates.

Nor George Soros, who he said will burn in hell.

Can’t link on phone, but Nate Silver addressed thus today on www.fivethirtyeight.com. His conclusion: yes.

In the last 20 years, there has been a pretty strong correlation between results of special elections in the first two years of a Presidential term and midterm results. At this point, for the Democrats to not take the house in 2018, that correlation would have to be weaker than it has been at any time during that period.

Not a guarantee, but definitely a good sign.

Keep in mind that by 2009, the democrats controlled a huge number of state legislature seats (I think there are 7300 total in America).

After the 2008 election, the democrats controlled about ~4000, and they lost 680 seats in the 2010 blowout election.

The GOP now control ~4100 seats. The GOP won the 2010 election by an 8 point margin (53-45). Some polls show the democrats winning the 2018 elections by a 15 point margin.

I have no idea what that means, but could it possibly mean 1000 state legislative seats could flip in 2018? Fox news constantly likes to talk about how ‘under Obama, democrats lost 1000 state legislature seats’. Which is true. However the dems started at a very high level in 2009 and most of those 1000 seats were lost in 2010.

Could the democrats get back to where they were in 2009, when they controlled something like 2/3 of state legislatures?

If all goes well, not only could the democrats win the federal house in 2018, they could win the federal senate and possibly 800+ state legislature seats and who knows how many governorships. Just so long as we turn out.

How many special elections in the last 20 years involved a candidate who had the senior senator from his state and own party say he was writing in another candidate? I can’t help but think that the circumstances here are unique enough to keep it from being a good predictor of anything.

After the last election I haven’t been able to make myself read anything from Nate.

I recall reading somewhere (can’t cite…on my phone with different browser) that Trump has already tweeted that he wished Moore had won, but that Trump was right when he said that Moore couldn’t win.

From what I’ve read, generic R is +28 over generic D in Alabama. So a combination of horribly unpopular R President, huge asshole R candidate, and a kiddy-diddling scandal was worth about 30 points. Most other states don’t have such a wide gulf between generic candidates, especially outside of the evangelical hellholes.

Found a cite:

I fully admit to predicting the race wrong and one of the main reasons was my fear that voter suppression efforts would help Moore get past the finish line. As it turns out, despite some very serious voter suppression efforts, black Alabamians voted anyway, and in very large numbers. I don’t think Alabama - or its neighbors to the West, Mississippi and Louisiana, for that matter - are any more progressive. But what the race shows is that black Americans are alarmed at what they see and they’re not staying home.

What concerns me is that Republicans nationwide also see this and are probably determined to find even more ways to rig the vote. Republicans are increasingly, desperately becoming anti-democratic because from their point of view, they are fighting for their survival. They know that the majority of people do not share their worldview, and while that makes them vulnerable, it also makes them dangerous.

That’s Trump claiming he said Moore can’t win. You need to cite the actual quote.

And they say the tangerine turd has no clue how to politic. He takes a public stance on each side of the issue, and when that issue matures, he points out that that is the side he was on.

The article looks at ALL the special elections from this year, federal and state-level, not just the Alabama election. There have been about seventy contested ones. On average, Democrats have beaten the district’s partisan lean by a lot (12 points if you look at all elections, 16 if you look only at federal ones).

Here’s another way of thinking about it: On average, state legislative special elections rarely result in a net gain of more than three seats for either party. In 2017, Democrats have had a net gain of eleven seats in special elections (in addition to the 14 they picked up in Virginia).

Alabama had some weird circumstances that undoubtedly helped to put Jones over the top, but it’s part of a much bigger national trend.