“Bet on yourself and join the Army!”
Remember kids: serious insiders can play this insiderctrading game with total impunity. The little people actually risking life and limb to add glory to the name be trump?
Fuggedaboudit!!!
It’s interesting, the way that the prediction markets want to have insiders involved and betting so that their predictions can be more accurate, but it’s an open question as to whether that will scare off people who don’t have insider information, thus draining the markets of liquidity.
Does anyone know if the prediction part of the predictions markets make any money, or is it just from the betting spreads?
Dude’s only being prosecuted because he got away with $400k of Trump’s rightful winnings
Holy shit! I went to that Polymarket site and it blew my mind. People are betting on everything! Who are the people using a site like that? I understand addiction, so I assume it is related, but betting on how hot it will be in Hong Kong tomorrow is bonkers to me (only $366K bet on that one…check out the Iran section for the many multi-millions).
Making use of classified info on the operation he was to be involved in is pretty bad.
Maybe his lawyer(s) will claim that since he was betting on Maduro being successfully removed, it was OK, as opposed to betting against Maduro’s removal - sort of like the the argument used in Pete Rose’s defense after he was found to have bet on Reds’ games while he was manager.
On which note, a Republican Congressional candidate in Texas has been fined and banned from Kaishi for betting that he’d lose the primary.
I agree. I’d much rather bet if Bitcoin is going to be up or down in the next 5 minutes. Or the number of Musk tweets this week.
You know, important shit.
Betting on the weather forecast is harmless enough (well, as harmless as any betting can be: You still get addicts losing their life savings, and the like). Where betting becomes dangerous business is when it’s based on things that people can control.
Like, that special forces guy: Look at it one way, and he was betting on his own success. But look at it another way, and he was offering to pay anyone who could cause the mission to fail, if they should do so. Is that really an offer we want, well, anyone to be making? Especially the people carrying out the mission?
Double holy shit! I just started watching the latest John Oliver show. Guess what it is about? We are living in bonkers time.
The biggest harm is that he made a specific bet that could have revealed to anybody paying attention details about the upcoming operation. I hope he gets the book thrown at him.
The socials though are full of people “taking his side” in the sense of arguing, if those in power in DC get away with inside dealing and with using war for futures manipulation, why not let someone with literal skin in the game do it out of his own pocket.
In another reality this would result in an immediate DOD order a-la MLB that ANY betting on missions is out of the question. I don’t expect that from the current team.
(And yes, predictive bet book creates an opsec vulnerability. If it becomes accepted conduct, it goes beyond “late night pizza deliveries to the Pentagon” because of the specificity of outcome predictions.)
Welp, I guess Janet Mills didn’t want to be a senator after all.
Home School Association sends waiver to allow kids to be coached by a sex offender. I have so many questions. An excerpt from the waiver:
“Coach Tommy can speak first-hand about the dark shadows of sports, especially professionally. He, himself a talented athlete, spent many years praising himself and feeding his flesh. The Lord so graciously refused to let the world have him and rescued him from his sin in a tremendously dramatic, yet necessary way. Tommy now spends his time pouring into young men around him, helping them navigate this tricky culture with Christ. His heart is to not only share his vast knowledge of baseball skills, but more importantly, the freedom he found in his Redeemer. Before you commit to Coach Tommy’s leadership, check out his testimony here.”
I may have a childish mind but “Tommy now spends his time pouring into young men around him?”
It’s not just you
Thirded. What a strange turn of phrase 
Fourth. I don’t think it was accidental.
The situation is a little more nuanced than the headline & preview indicate. But for people who only read headlines, if even that, the publicity about her decision here will not improve her vote tally this Nov.
More likely to be an issue in the primary, isn’t it? Is the Republican likely to take a position against the things?