I think a lot people are looking for a good reason, or even an excuse, to prefer one over another. A rise in public enthusiasm is pretty good for that, the “Big Mo”, a sense of flow and momentum. And I tend to agree with people who suggest that McCains viability works more for Obama. A lot of people have a visceral dislike of Hillary, unjustified, perhaps, but it is what it is. But as a result, a voter who doesn’t like McCain, or likes him fine but is scared shitless at the prospect of him holding The Big Button is less likely to bolt and vote for Hillary. But said voter might vote for Obama who carries less baggage.
If Obama has enough time, he will win, the force is with him.
IMO the last thing you want is to be THAT inevitable before the election - it keeps your voters home (in reference to tomorrow, not the general).
McCain needs to strike the right balance. Or scare off people voting against him…
Prediction: Obama wins, squeaker tomorrow but he has political and financial momentum right now. Obama wins in the general running as a centrist - like he is now, despite being rather liberal.
He’s smart, tries to stay on the high ground, has a track record of being bi-partisan.
Secondary prediction: If it’s just tight enough, I predict Hillary will keep misting up as she feels things slowly slip away (and typically before an election and after an erosion of support).
I would love an Obama victory. This is the primary that has finally convinced me that my lifelong approach to politics–vote the issues, not the person–may be flawed. Recent behavior from the Clinton campaign (and I hold the candidate responsible for all behavior that’s not explicitly disavowed by the candidate) is showing me that a person who agrees with me on issues may lack the integrity to carry through on those beliefs; it’s also making me wonder whether a candidate with incredible charisma may accomplish more of what I want than a candidate with baggage who agrees more with me on what I want. Politics is the art of the possible, right? And more seems possible with Obama.
That said, until today’s polls, I was anticipating a Clinton victory. I’m starting to dare to hope for an Obama one. If he wins, burundi owes me an ice cream cone.
It’s all about competence and experience for me. And integrity. McCain and Clinton conducted their campaign with more honesty than either Romney or Obama.
I duly note the absence of any objection to this statement. Had this statement read “Not Barack. He’s an uppity n*gg#r and a c0()n to boot.”, I’d think things would be different. Double-standard and all.
Hmmm. You are upset that a comment made at 3:30 in the morning hasn’t had people jumping all over it within 40 minutes. You think more people would have been awake and irate if it had been Barak.
That’s absurd.
Quartz is way out of line but your using that as an opportunity to take a cheap shot also is.
I think Clinton emerges from super Tuesday with lead over Obama, but not enough to lock it up (ETA: not enough to lock it up tomorrow, I mean). Ulitmately, I think Clinton will win the nomination and lose to McCain.
It’s not just this post. I’ve seen similar statements bandied about here without much of a comment. I totally forgot the time zone difference but it doesn’t change anything. The double standard is alive and well here.
I’m sorry, but you are mistaken: I’m sure many people would say about Margaret Thatcher what I’ve said about Hillary Clinton, and my admiration for the former is well attested.
There is not one ounce of me that believes this. I’m not an uneducated voter, and I cast my vote this morning in CT for Obama - you think he’d be eaten alive in Washington? I think he’d take Washington by Storm. Glad we live in a land where I can stand on my side of the street and you can stand on yours and we can shout back and forth without looking down a barrel. We’ll see what happens after today. I think the debates will be just as heated tomorrow when the ballots have been cast, and we see who more people in the United States have voted for.
Change is not a bad thing, so what if he has a great personality? Imagine if you can a president with a cheery personality who can actually get things done? Hmmm…interesting to think what new green ideas coming to Washington will do for our economy - he certainly won’t eff it up as bad as the current goof ball did. That’s for sure.
