Oregon’s primary is May 17. Both D and R primaries are closed, so you have to register for a party to vote for president in it. The deadline for registration for the primary is April 26.
I can’t find any recent poll results, but I expect Sanders is going to win the Democrats. Have no clue about the R’s.
Delegates: D - 74, 61 proportionately won, I assume the other 13 are superdelegates.
R - 28 – not sure how these are asssigned but probably the usual mixture of statewide and congressional district winners.
It’s between the big April states (NY 19 April and others including PA 26 April) and the June California mega-delegate race, and it shares the day with Kentucky, which has nearly as many delegates at stake. So give us some reasons to care?
As my admittedly modest memory serves, the big cities trend liberal to very liberal and very white, so Bernie Sanders may take this state to get some momentum into the California vote (and offset what is likely to be a sure loss the same day in Kentucky), while the more rural areas are conservative/libertarian, which IMHO should be prime Cruz territory, which he’ll need if he gets the whuppin’ I think he’ll get in April.
I assume Bernie won’t drop out even after he’s pounded in New York and the middle Atlantic states later in April. Bernie will draw huge crowds, win Oregon easily and get his ass kicked in Kentucky the same day. Won’t really move the needle on the delegate count but once again we will hear about ‘momentum’
It’s a preview of the California primary. The demographics in Oregon are very similar to those of northern California. And yes, Sanders will probably win it, the question is, by how much?
I have no clue about how the R’s will shake out although I suspect this is not big Trump territory.
I’m not sure what you mean by “northern” California (does it include the bay area, eg?) or why that matters more than the demographics of California as a whole, but to be clear, California is 32% Latino, whereas Oregon is 8%, and California is 7% black and Oregon is 2%. Demographically speaking, Oregon gives us no insight whatsoever into California.
No, the Dems and GOP are both running closed primaries. Only the Independent Party primary is open. If you want to vote for someone you’ve heard of, you have to change your registration.
So what’s the Independent Party? They’re a new party which I think has a centrist or maybe center-right platform. They chose their name to trick voters who were disillusioned with the D’s and R’s. and wanted to become non-affiliated. This apparently worked often enough that they got enough voters registered to qualify for a primary.
It’s not a scam; they just didn’t read it carefully enough. As that link I gave tells it, you have to change your party affiliation by reregistering for whichever party’s primary you want to vote in. Unless you want to vote in the Independent Party’s primary, but who’d want to do that? I figure any party that has to trick people to register as members isn’t worth my time.