Overly early predictions for November 2016

My first approximation of the Electoral College map for the 2016 Presidential election.
Now, right now this is very rough. The map comes from 270 To Win - you can fill in your own guesses and post links too! Then I went over to PredictWise and started assigning by the probabilities there. Anything 75% or more for the “Democratic party” went to Clinton; all the rest went to Trump. As you can see, that gives a bare win to the Democrats; I’d expect a couple of the states to swing to the blue.

I’ll keep an eye on polling, and update* as necessary.

*maybe here, if there’s any interest