President Biden Dropping Out of Race

[hajario]

@hajario

@hajario

Nate Silver just released his first model with Harris.

He gives Harris a 38% chance of winning the Electoral College and a 53% chance of winning the popular vote.

Biden was at a 27% chance in the final model before dropping out.

He posted this on X so I can’t link but after a lot more polls came out, Harris is now at 42.5% on Nate’s model.

Up to 47% today even accounting for this morning’s bad economic news which is part of his model.