My view…
Rush took delight in portraying any non-neoconservative group as left over hippies and counter-culture pot/shroom/whatever heads, and treated them and anyone with drug dependency as one and the same. He did so in a continually derisive and belittling manner, and held himself and neoconservatism up as the paragon of moral decency fighting to retake the country and government from the “long-haired, maggot-infested, dope-smoking FM types” infesting the nations capitol …
The neocons must be having a collective heart attack. On the one hand, they can either continue the rhetoric of bashing people with dependency issues as being weak, soft, unwilling to face their problems, not man enough, not woman enough, not TOUGH enough and unable to just get over it. In which case they just lost their public figurehead/emperor who held it all together for them and kept them from splintering into factions, since Ann Coulter turns even a lot of Republicans off and the other mouth pieces do as well. Rush was “folksy” and yet savvy enough to bridge that gap and bring the real right wingers closer to the great party middle and the more liberal (or moderate as they call themselves) republicans. This is what made him so powerful. An average DAILY audience of 14 to 20 million people powerful.
On the other hand, the party can suddenly get all concerned about how stress and physical injuries can make even the best people slip and fall cause we’re all only human after all …and try out the compassionate conservative dog and pony show. A show which never really fit them to begin with, and which will be seen as what it is by the great middle class, namely, desperate damage control.
The REAL problem for the neocons is, they can’t even TRY to do the latter without giving up the former, and the former was powerful medicine that sounded good to repeat often. If they do try it though, they suddenly reveal themselves as people engaging in an about face on their beliefs since about 93’. “Lock the drug infested maggots up” doesn’t have quite the same ring when it’s your own favorite son popping Oxycotins like tic-tacs.
Deep down inside, they know it. They have a rather unique crisis of conscience on their hands. Zero tolerance, has come home to kick them in the junk.
It’s a pretty big damn deal politically… because he (and by extension anyone he represents, like the neocons) is now open to charges of being hypocritical. Folks outside his radio listening range may not understand how big he is. Here’s a few numbers to show his influence:
Limbaugh audience in mid-1990s estimated at 20 million listeners a week on 680 radio stations across country
-recent drop to 14.5 million (decline of “Rush Rooms” where viewers listened together at restaurants)
-books have sold 7.5 million copies
-$25,000-$50,000 for lectures
-monthly newsletter has 170,000 subscribers (example of cross-promotion)
http://www.insidepolitics.org/ps111/riseofTV.html
And understand that his listener base is mostly white, mostly college educated, and politically active. These ARE people who vote… between 14 and 20 MILLION of them.
Like him or hate him, he’s the neocons/Republican party poster boy behind GW Bush.
As for his comeback… I am … dubious. It’s going to be hard to find any conservative politician who wants to stand near him, and the Republican party is not known for it’s forgiving neture when it comes to “moral” embarassment of this type, especially when it goes public like this. Further, the States Attorney is going to be very hard pressed NOT to press charges. They, all the way up to the Governor, will catch a shitstorm of criticism if he gets any kind of a pass, and they know that. It gives easy ammo to their opposition. Down the road, their strategists have to know (and be reporting to their bosses) that the Democrat strategists are already writing campaign ads, and finding old pictures and doing everything they can to put the “tainted” man next to the Republican candidates.
They’re going to have to engage in damage control, and that means repudiating Rush three times before the cock crows.
Personally, I hope he gets the help he needs. Same as I do with any addict. I have a feeling you are going to see a waning of his power and prestige, and a lot less public association between him and the party. This not going to destroy the republican party of course, but it will probably weaken it somewhat since their number one cheerleader is no longer a virgin, and just doesn’t have the same bounce in his bosom any more. Combined with the factionalization you are likely to see without his overpowering presence keeping everyone in the same tent, and Bush’s being less than the ideal candidate and the foreign policy issues and weak economy…
Well… Wesley Clark is looking stronger by the minute. And that, in my view, is the real effect his addiction has had on the republicans.
Regards,
-Bouncer-