Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 1)

My respect for Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky’s courage is growing day by day. The man is out there leading and inspiring his country. He’s only been a politician for a short time. Churchill had been elected to Parliament in 1900 and had military experience before that.

Unverified reports claim there are Chechen kill squads looking for Zelensky and other Ukraine officials. There are also Russian guided missiles that can target rooms in buildings. Similar to what the US used in Iraq.

I hope Zelensky can avoid capture or death and continue to lead his countrymen. It is making a difference in building international support.

Biden just approved a 350 million Ukraine military aid package. I don’t believe that was even a option last week.

It gives your own Air Force something to hit as the enemy columns are slowed down

I dunno about the supposed IL-76/78 shoot downs. Those are big aircraft and if they have been shot down then there definitely would have been some video of burning wreckage.
The Flanker which was destroyed left lots of video and debris and it’s small compared to the Ilyushins.

Today’s New York Times has a report of pro-Russian people on the right. Here is the link;

‘I’ll Stand on the Side of Russia’: Pro-Putin Sentiment Spreads Online

In truth, I do not give this much importance. The people they mention do not seem to be big names. Only a few have Wikipedia entries.

Dashboard cam footage of a Ukrainian motorist encountering a Russian tank that’s run out of fuel, with English subtitles.

So it’s sort of like the Battle of the Bulge – launching an attack with a minimal amount of logistics – only the Russians don’t have the excuse of using everything they had on hand. If true, it’s a clusterfuck beyond all comprehension.

An army marches on its stomach – Napoleon

The line between disorder and order lies in logistics – Sun Tzu (maybe)

Can anyone provide an easy link to whatever Google Maps has on this? I have read news stories saying that the road traffic information is useful, for example. But I have rarely used Google Maps and so cannot find what I want.

-=Linky=-

I haven’t seen any reports of catastrophic Russian food and fuel supply problems. I am not sure I believe a meaw.com report. Maybe wait until it’s confirmed elsewhere?

Well, here’s articles from before the invasion about how troops stationed on the border weren’t being fed.

And a similar one about the Russian soldiers in Belarus (right across the border from Chernobyl, from which the push for Kiev has originated) selling materiel for booze and cash.

Ukraine is setting up a hotline so Russian parents can call to find out if their conscripted sons or daughters have been captured or killed:

Kazakhstan, up until now a close ally of Russia, has refused Russia’s request for troops and to recognize the bullshit republics:

They’re probably wisely worried that they could be next if this succeeds.

Twitter thread about the possibility (supported by reports of breakdowns, no fuel, supplies, etc.) that Russia planned a blitzkrieg attack and logistically was totally unprepared for the resistance met:

Analysis: advance forces’ battle readiness will quickly degrade, giving Putin only days to choose invasion or retreat

(With extreme sarcasm from my part:)

"[ Ambassador Trentino ]: I am willing to do anything to prevent this war.

[ Dictator of Freedonia, Rufus T. Firefly (Groucho Marx)]: It’s too late. I’ve already paid a month’s rent on the battlefield."

– From Duck Soup (1933)

As a professional military logistician, I find this focus very satisfying. And if it’s accurate, it’s kind of shocking how incompetent the Russians have been so far.

Unreliable sources can give good information but I think we’ve all seen the results of reading mixed truth and fiction, in the long term.

Appears to be a good source (Canadian):

This one brought a tear to my eye (1m10s):

That’s witchy stuff - and I mean that in the best possible way. Highly admire that woman’s courage.

I’m seeing speculation that Putin might resort to high-power thermobaric weapons.

Would that be considered crossing a moral line? Would the use of that weapon against troops or a city be a war crime?

It’s a bit of a problem for the US. We used one against the Taliban. It’s my understanding it was a rural area and a few hundred fighters. We didn’t create massive casualities in the thousands.

I know Putin is considered ruthless. Would he cross the line and become a war criminal by wiping out a defenseless Ukrainian city?

I would hope that Putin’s political base would revolt against committing atrocities.The Ukraine was a cofounder of the Soviet Union. Russians and Ukrainians share a lot of common history.

I’d just like to note that one takeaway I had from Putin’s speeches and “live streams” was that the man looked old, tubby, and comfortable.

I don’t think he’s long for keeping those who surround him in petrification of his greatness.