Where are all these bodies? We’ve seen photos of dead Russian soldiers left behind on the battlefield. Those don’t give me the sense the Russians are retrieving their KIAs, or at least not all of them. So where are all these thousands of bodies?
Or perhaps the Russian Army has in fact been diligent about recovering their dead but still… with all the cameras in every phone, how can there not be video of scores or even hundreds of dead Russians?
This is meaningless. You originally posted that because there are some cities in orange, e.g., that the Russians have captured, that the Ukrainians are not winning.
That’s not true. We don’t know if the Russians are winning yet. Before the war there were zero cities captured and now there are cities which are captured (which should be so obvious that I’m not sure why it’s being pointed out), but that doesn’t tell us if the Russians are winning.
It was expected that the Russians would capture cities. However, the pace they are capturing the cities is so much slower than expected there apparently are real questions if they can actually win before the get bogged down completely.
The Ukrainians don’t have to prevent all cities from becoming captured, they just have to prevent enough cities that they can continue the fight and eventually the Russians will not be able to continue the war.
The sanctions are hurting the Russian economy, the US and allies are providing military aid to the Ukrainians and there are other factors which make it difficult to predict exactly who will win this.
But because some cities have been captured, this does not mean that Ukraine isn’t winning. The argument is being made by some people that they are. I don’t know enough to say myself, but it would take a better argument that a few cities have fallen to disprove that.
Ukraine had a large population of foreign students before the war, and quite a lot of those students were from India. Past students may have stayed in Ukraine or gone to nearby countries after graduating, rather than return to India. Not to mention other Indian nationals in/around Ukraine for other reasons. It may be that those Indians in the International Legion in Ukraine were already there or nearby rather than Indian residents who left India to join up.
Makes sense, and I did know there were a lot of Indian (and Chinese for that matter) students in Ukraine. It’s been a thing, especially the difference between how Taiwan got its people out verse the CCPs reaction and actions (or lack of them) wrt their own people. And I’ve seen a bunch of stories on Indian students and business people in Ukraine.
I’d say the fairest assessment is that it’s a stalemate at this point. Russia has several cities under siege and continues to bombard several more. In the field, the Ukrainian army is still a viable fighting force, and still hitting the Russians hard in many areas. The Russians are still having the same logistics issues that have plagued them since the start, as well as just issues with coordination and combined arms operations. They still aren’t operating at night from what I’ve read. The lines haven’t substantially moved since last week, though part of that is the Russians are in a position to hit the cities they are clearly targeting with military operations. The Russian air forces still seem to be largely MIA.
On the economic front, well, Russia hasn’t collapsed…and neither has Ukraine. Yet. Both sides are hurting economically. And Putin (and Zelenskyy) are still not dead. From a negotiating perspective, neither side seems closer to some sort of peace. I doubt the Ukrainians would be interested in a ceasefire since that would help the Russians, and the Russians, while they have slightly softened their initial position are still demanding more than the Ukrainians are willing to give.
Russian aircraft are always invading their neighbours airspace. It happens several times a year and the standard response is to escort them out. Russia does it to probe and test the readiness of their adversaries. For instance, between 2005 and 2015 Russian military aircraft and ships crossed into UK territory 33 times (sorry can’t find more recent figures).
As drones, unlike planes, are unmanned, I can’t see anything controversial or provocative about shooting down an enemy drone that is over your territory.
Agreed, absolutely they should be shot down. I was just saying that this is a Russian tactic and inferring that this was probably deliberate. Obviously sending fighters would be a bit too provocative and really might risk escalation.
The fact Putin’s sending drones rather than aircraft, and that he announced that arms supplies were a valid tactic a day or two before striking that western Ukrainian base which they use to coordinate with NATO, shows to me that Putin is only willing to rattle NATO very carefully. He is not looking for a pretext to start a war with NATO.
Zelensky gives an inspiring speech. I hope it does some good.
Cnn has some interesting insights.
I am confused about a No Fly Zone. How would that defend against cruise missles? They’re launched from ships or land bases. A No Fly Zone only keeps aircraft from launching attacks.
I’m not sure that’s always a consideration. The Swedes would love (and have certainly attempted) to sink one of the manned Russian subs that frequently violate their waters.