Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 1)

For what it’s worth, the American military’s Code of Conduct, in articles 2 and 3, says

“I will never surrender of my own free will. If in command, I will never surrender the members of my command while they still have the means to resist. … If I am captured I will continue to resist by all means available. I will make every effort to escape and aid others to escape. I will accept neither parole nor special favors from the enemy.”

So the Russian prohibition on surrender is by no means unique. Only, perhaps, the severity of the penalty.

isn’t the newest law the one that claims Putin won the war … ?

(or was that an actual joke?)

Did I say it was?

No need to even pretend this is a fair election, so let’s play the Russian National anthem before this vote on whether we want to join Russia (video in the linked Tweet).

hold my Bier and watch this:

Austria, 1938

Latest Russian milblogger map of Lyman area:


Looks like the circle is closing.

(Compare quoted post for three days ago comparison)

Drone footage of massive traffic jam of people fleeing Russia to avoid conscription.

Footage starts at about 1:47.

I think this is a key clause, and I wouldn’t consider “we still have one partial magazine for one of our M16’s” as means to resist.

A day’s training? What extravagance!

A general observation and question: is it just me or do the Ukrainians give the appearance of being able to conduct river crossings with relative ease where the Russians - with vastly more combat engineering resources available - have frequently struggled to effect crossings. I’m thinking back on the attempted river crossing in May where they >attempted a river crossing near Bilohorivka
and ended up losing an entire battalion.

Maybe because Russia’s satellite capability lags far behind that of the West, making it harder to identify and target river crossings.

Then perhaps they should have thought twice before starting this little adventure. They expected to drive all the way to Kiev?

They were expecting to be greeted as liberators.

More Russian dirty tactics? Won’t know until the investigation.

Preliminary results have been announced (even though “voting” is still underway)

  • 97% in Kherson region

  • 98% in Zaporizhzhia

  • 98% in “Donetsk People’s Republic”

  • 98% in “Luhansk People’s Republic”

(translation is by BBC’s Ukraine correspondent James Waterhouse)

Has that ever worked out as a war plan?

The allies in WWII

Yes, but they were actually liberating occupied territory. “Liberating” people from their own government is a different proposition.

My recollection is that in the second Iraq war, the US and allies were generally greeted with happiness (if not the rose petals that were promised). I thought it was the completely unplanned post-liberation occupation that ended up turning the masses against us.

A couple different things going on

Even if it’s manufactured, you still need something resembling a valid casus belli

To an extent, they were high on their own supply - there was some belief that the local populace really did want to be annexed or at least rid of their current leadership and would welcome a liberating force. The US made the same mistake in Iraq. They decided to listen uncritically to people telling them what they wanted to hear

All this nonsense about crypto-Nazis is, of course, stage dressing