Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 1)

Yeah, I think I dictated that and didn’t catch/correct it.

Russia’s foreign secretary says there’s no point in Russian diplomats holding posts in Western countries.

Fine. Close every embassy. Remove Russia from the UN. Toss them out of the World Trade Organization. Biff them out of international banking. Treat them as the pariah terrorist nation they aspire to be.

Did a quick rough calculation. Millions of killowatts tripped me up a bit.
But it might take 3055 of these worlds biggest to make up what has been lost? Of course Ukraine will be able to restore quite a bit on it’s own and with help. Seems a lot of the targets are not the actual generation equipment but the transformer sections adjacent to the generators. These are vital, expensive items. Can be in short supply with long lead times. These transformers are weak points in a lot of our power systems. An event that takes out a lot of them can have long term devastating effect. Even if the generators are still functional.

I’m surprised by this move. About half the Russian diplomatic service are spies† and they’re removing them from the West? Does not make sense.

Sudden thought: perhaps it’s really a cost-saving move, but they’re putting the best face on it.

†Of course Russian diplomats are not unique in being spies, except possibly in the percentage who are.

The equipment probably dates back to the Soviet Union and not drop in compatible with EU equipment.

We have several electrical systems in the US. Single phase and 3 phase. A friend has a commercial milling machine that requires 3 phase. He can’t use it at his home shop.

You’ll put your eye out, kid.

It does make sense, if they’re preparing for war with the West, nuclear or conventional.

My understanding is that there is no signal to jam. These suicide drones are not controlled remotely but are more like small, slow cruise missiles - fire and forget. If they count on GPS and that can be blocked or interfered with, that’s a different story.

Maybe they’re removing the half who aren’t spies. :male_detective:

On what route are the civilians being evacuated? Walking over Antonivsky bridge? Pontoon bridges? Ferry? If Russia concedes Kherson will the military don civilian clothes and join the non-combatants? Could this already be happening with actual civilians being left behind?

The same thought occurred to me as well. How many more months of capital reserves does Russia still possess to allow them to still operate a functional economy while at the same time waging an optional war?

I think the evacuation is happening by boats/ships.

From a Ukrainian:

I assumed the officials already had martial law in occupied cities? There’s soldiers on the streets and FSB investigating and interrogating people.

Would this change much for civilians living in occupied Russian territory?

Guardian feed

The future of warfare? I’m not sure how effective it would be, due to recoil.

They’re apparently being evacuated to Russia itself:

Not entirely clear from the story, but the impression I got is that, at least at this point, the evacuations are at least voluntary. Would be more voluntary if they got a choice as to which direction to head in, of course.

Maybe these are known Russian sympathizers who are getting out while they can do so safely.

Hard to say without a better video, but I’m guessing it’s fake. I don’t think a drone that apparent size could lift a machine gun and ammunition. Even if it could, the recoil would make it impossible to track a target, especially something like a moving drone.

I have a vague memory of seeing a drone with a 9mm handgun attached. However, I can’t recall if it was a movie or real footage.

This is what I read this morning. It’s evacuating Russians/sympathizers, not Ukrainians. Probably because Putin is planning on shelling the evacuated areas and it would look bad for him if he was killing even more Russians.

Hope so. That would be the best-case scenario, that the people who actually want to be part of Russia are the ones who are moving there (though I hope they get treated like ordinary Russian citizens when they get there, not as kidnapped Ukranian hostages.)