At Betfair right now, I could lay Bernie Sanders’ chances at the Presidency and get 3.4% interest over 2 months if I was certain he would not be president. I would have thought Sanders would by a dead duck now that you have a Dem nominee for P and VP. Is there a good reason Sanders would still have a 4% or so chance for the presidency at this stage?
Well apparently Clinton just lost the election by leaving a ceremony early. So she will likely have to withdraw due to health reasons, there’ll be an emergency delegate convention where it will obviously select Bernie and he will probably win against Trump. So it sounds like easy money.
Or it could mean that betting markets aren’t as great at predictions as they are often thought to be.
Implied percentage is now at 2% and widening, so whatever opportunity I had, I guess I missed.
Uncyclopedia was right!
I don’t know what that is, but my agency is offering $19 on Sanders ($251 on Stein). HRC is 1.45, Trump 2.75.