That’s what I’ve been doing, Tom - reviewing the Drain Bead thread. It’s very confusing.
Starting with post 239. DB has at this point learned that, contrary to her (her, right?) expectation as previously indicated, OaOW can’t be Leader because of his role, not because of somebody’s power. DB says not to claim, at least not yet. That’s more or less what a lot of us are saying at this point, and nobody’s giving Drain Bead any crap for it.
The crucial posts are # 332 and 345. Here’s why: DB has no votes on her for awhile after making those two posts, until amrussell says (post numbers added by me):
Follow-up votes come hot and heavy, with minor variations on the same theme. First obvious question that jumps out - were the two reasons amrussell gives here legitimate? So first, was there a U-turn on Chronos? I’d say no, there wasn’t. DB didn’t want OaOW to claim – don’t claim soft, don’t claim hard, don’t claim with a St. Bernard*. In this light, it is, I think, totally legitimate to say on the one hand that the willingness of OaOW to acknowledge a non-vanilla role was a bad thing (I disagree, but it’s a consistent position) and then say on the other hand that Chronos should not push for a full claim. That’s not a U-turn.
The second part of the case was the Lie Detector thing. I don’t think that there’s any reason not to give the LD a statement to work with, since it essentially deputizes the LD into a full role cop and that’s something we want. I have to admit, though, that I’m a very suspicious player in these games, and my initial thinking when Chronos said that was “He could be inviting an investigation because he knows he’ll trick the investigator.” I remember in the last game with a Lie Detector, there was concern that a Godfather might be able to trick the LD the same way he would trick an investigation. If somebody came right out and said “I’m Town, I should be investigated tonight so we can clear me,” that would be really suspicious, right? So I’m willing to give DB a little room there for healthy paranoia, personally, because it occurred to me. In the end, though, it’s probably reading too much of my own style into it, since that isn’t even what DB’s point was.
The bulk of the discussion, it seems to me, has been about DB and giving the LD something to work with. I think that’s been hashed out to everybody’s satisfaction, and DB has given her reasons, like them or not. I really feel like everything else has been without much merit.
Anyway, I started this summary in order to get my own thoughts straight about what’s going on here. I think my conclusion is that the hesitance to go along with the Lie Detector thing when others obviously were willing counts as anti-town enough to justify a day 1 vote, so if that’s why people feel she’s the prime candidate, I can see it. I also think it should be noted that point #1 in case #1 made against DB was a specious one, and we should be aware of that going forward, and scrutinize those who jumped on board with that analysis without much rigor.
*this is actually the improved version. It started as a Harry Potter joke, I’m sorry to say.