The league is too competitive this year. I’m 5-3 and probably a healthy underdog to make the playoffs. ** Justin**'s likely about 80% to win the division. He’s got a 1 game lead, plus the division record tiebreaker and 47 more points scored, and also an easier schedule the rest of the way: my combined remaining opponents have a combined 26-22 record and average 116.8 ppg, while his are 22-26 with 110.2.
But the wildcard might be even tougher. Even assuming that none of Ellis, Retro, or **Omni **make a run, that leaves me, whichever of Hamlet/**Stringer **doesn’t win the Midwest, and whichever of Petey/Beef/**RNATB **don’t win the Sunbelt, which means 4 of us competing for 1 spot. There are going to be some good teams in the consolation bracket…
Petey and Jules are probably 50-50 right now, but if Jules pulls it out, then Petey, RNATB, and Beef will all be tied at 6-3. And then you and Stringer will be right there at 5-4. Of course, those records are if the projections hold.
I guess I’ll be sitting pretty at 7-2, but I don’t feel safe AT ALL.
And has anyone heard from Omni? I sent him a trade offer a week ago and never heard back and this weekend he never switched out a roster spot that was on a bye. Hope he’s OK.
Dammit! I wasn’t online in the morning to switch out Carlos Hyde, so I ended up with a hole in my roster. If I’d known I would have subbed in Jennings, which would have made all the difference.
So pissed. I could have lost by 33+ points instead of the 40+ I’m losing by.
I started slow last year and had to rip off a 5 win streak at the end to barely make the playoffs. I didn’t start as slow this year (at 5-3) but my I was just in the middle of the pack score wise, nothing great. But with having scored the most points last week and possibly this week (MNF games might catch Justin or Omni up) I’m starting to look good. I’m 2nd in points only behind JB. Figures I traded the right to swap first rounders with the guy the one year he’s going into the playoffs, but I guess at least I can move down from the #12 slot a place or two.
Jay Ajayi did another 100+ yard week with a TD, so he’s looking like a legit stud at this point. Which I really needed to pair with Lamar Miller because everyone else I have at RB is unreliable. Ty Montgomery appears like he’s going to be a thing for the rest of the year - they cut Kniles Davis and Eddy Lacy is coming back at the end of the year if at all, so I basically found a starting RB on the waiver wire, although he’s still listed at WR. Doesn’t really matter except for bye weeks - I’ll be starting Miller/Ajayi in the RB slots.
Rodgers to Nelson has mostly worked this year. Gronk is as good as ever. Robinson and Thomas have regressed a little but I think anyone would love to have them as 3rd and 4th WRs. And Denver only just had their first bad week - they’ll be a good D through the rest of the year.
Hello friends. It’s another good week for Team Beef. I’m currently projected to score this week’s highest score by 32 points. If that holds true, I will have placed 1st, 2nd, and 1st in score over the last 3 weeks. And I didn’t even start Ryan Mathews who has 30 points on my bench.
Hello friends. It’s another shitty week for team Haruspex. I’m currently projected to score less than my opponent again because my players can never get touchdowns (again for the 275th time). And it’s not like I had much on my bench. My team stinks and everything sucks.
It’s going to be a close finish between me and RetroVertigo. He basically just needs a 100-yard game or a touchdown from AJ Green, but the Giants’ pass defense has been very good recently so there is hope for me.
If I can’t pull this out, my potential route to the playoffs becomes a lot narrower. On the other hand, my RBs are suddenly healthier, so I should be back up in the 130s most weeks going forward.
Well, I still have a chance in my game. If OBJ catches zero passes, carries five times for negative sixty yards, fumbles all five carries and loses all five fumbles… I would still need a stat correction or two or five to win. Yahoo says I have a 2% chance.
RNATB lost, and I am now the leader of Sunbelt. Petey is extremely close - I’m ahead on account of my 2-1 division record to his 1-2 record, but we’re 1.01 points apart. He could neutralize that division record issue simply by beating me when we win again. It’s going to be a tight race. Obviously RNATB is still in the running too since he’s only one game behind but has a division record edge on both of us.
I’m hoping my team’s success is a trend, rather than a three week good run. It seems like it should be - everyone is healthy and getting in the groove. No reason for production to fall off.
Dale lost by 0.27 points, missing out on his second win of the year. That sucks.
Justin has a 2.5 game lead for his division and someone from Sunbelt is likely to win the wildcard, so this is looking grim for Varlos. Midwest is tighter, Hamlet and Omni are still in striking distance of the division lead.
Sunbelt may end up with 3 of the top 4 teams, meaning someone will be unfairly kept out of the playoffs.
Yahoo’s “current projections” view apparently doesn’t know it’s own playoff rules. It shows RNATB taking the wildcard with a 9-5 record, 1670 points scored. Whereas it projects me with a 9-5 record, 1759 points scored. It says he has a better division record, but division records only break ties for the division win, right? Wildcard first tiebreaker is points scored. So by its own projection it should project me winning the wildcard. Unless I’ve missed something.
I only remember the extremely close games I was personally involved in.
Week 10 2010 142.75 - 142.14 (0.61): Michael Vick scores 50+ on MNF for me to beat Varlos
Week 15 2012 108.10 - 108.65 (0.45): Hamlet eliminates me in the playoffs.
Week 7 2012: 132.90 - 132.70 (0.20): Closest margin game I can remember being involved in, squeaked it out against Beef.
Yahoo says the closest margin all time was Week 16 2014 in a meaningless consolation bracket game: (8) Varlos’ Zzzzzzz 144.04 - (7) The Gusterrhoids 144.05
Alshon Jeffery getting suspended for four games does not help me at all. And when Ellie and Jules win, they’re almost always giant-killers, so the intra-division games at the end of the season are going to be very interesting for Varlos and I.
Omni needs a roster adjustment - Christine Michael is inactive this week. I hope he’s around to see that. If he does, he has a decent shot at RNATB.
I am a mere 70 points behind Ellis Dee, but I do have a lot of late in the week games. Rodgers, Nelson, Miller, Kelley, Hopkins (kicker), and Raiders D against his Jamison Crowder still remaining. I need the good Green Bay to show up this week.
Dale crushed it this week with 133 points, which made end up being the top score.
Jules is projected for a close finish with Retro, needing 37 points out of Murray, Fuller, and the Packers D.
Hamlet needs 36 out of Cooper, Starks, and Garcon to beat JB.
Lots of games up for grabs going into the last two.
The fact that Crowder went down on the one, and then Kelly scored the TD, and then Kelly ripped off a huge run at the end sure did work out for me. I still need some Lamar Miller score tomorrow which has been elusive this season but the details in this game are working out as I need them to.
Now if Rob Kelley has played himself into starting in Washington my roster will actually have a little balance.