The Packers announced this morning that Rodgers definitely won’t play. Sorry Beef.
Deciding to take the high risk move. Matt Cassel go.
30 mph winds for Gordon and Cameron. Boo.
I look at Matt Asiata’s 31 carries and 3 TD’s, and can only wonder what could have been if Adrian Peterson was in there instead.
And then I look at frickin’ Matt Cassel’s 31.5 points, and it only gets worse.
Well wtf can you do against 40 points In a half?
My last minute pick of Cassel look savvy but I can’t pick a defense to save my life. Not sure if any of it matters. Jamaal Charles is going to set a league-high score today.
Unless something bonkers happens (Reggie Bush and Calvin Johnson combining for negative points tomorrow night), it’s gonna be me versus **Hamlet **in the championship game next week. It’s been a long road for my team to get to this point. Four years spent wandering in the Desert of Shitty Running Backs. Hopefully we can cap this off.
**dale **should be rooting hard for **Stringer **to finish his comeback in the consolation bracket: he owns Stringer’s 1st Rounder next year. Conversely, I’m hoping **Omni **can win that game, since I’ll be taking his 2nd Rounder.
I don’t know if I should feel better or worse that I was beaten by what’s essentially the best fantasy performance of the modern era.
Feel better that it was by Jamaal Charles, a real stud this year, rather than by someone fluky, like the Brown’s defense going off for 30 or some waiver wire scrub QB who has an out of body experience. But mostly, feel better because you lost to me. No shame in that; I’m pretty awesome.
Clinton Portis had a slightly better performance (and much better performance in non-PPR leagues) in week 14 of the 2003 season. 218 rushing, 36 receiving on two catches, and five touchdowns (all rushing). In our format he would have scored 56.4 points. It’s kind of weird that Charles of all people averaged 2.5 yards per carry in his best game ever.
Naturally, I outscored everyone else in the playoffs except the guy I was playing. I have 145 projected points during the last week, too. I will probably outscore everyone by 50 just to annoy me.
Congratulations to Hamlet.
Ugh, I don’t like my odds in the Championship Game this weekend. I’ve been averaging a projected score of around 140 for the last 4 weeks, but this week I’ve got a whole slate of crappy matchups (while Hamlet’s opponents are about as weak as they could possibly be), plus Ben Tate was put on IR.
To make matters worse, for now I’ve got both Reggie Bush and his backup/committee mate Joique Bell starting (rather than put in one of my banged up Cardinals WRs against the Seahawks D), plus of course Calvin Johnson, so if I keep my roster like that I’ll have to hope that the Lions just beat the ever-loving shit out of my beloved Giants.
I hope you’re right.
I’m not a fan of using yahoo’s projected scores as anything but an intriguing sidenote. I was projected to be something like 13-1, and I end up 9-5. You have Romo against the bad Washington Professional Football Team’s defense, Megatron and Bush against the average NYG’s defense, Crabtree against the horrible Falcons defense, and Sanders against a bad Packers pass defense. Outside of maybe Stacy at the Bucs and the Panthers against the Saints, I’m not seeing bad matchups. I’m all in on the Raiders and Cowboys being bad defenses, and I may need them both.
I hate those games where your fandom and your fantasy teams are in conflict. Ugh.
Good Luck this weekend. Great job on making (and possibly winning) the Championship game after going a mediocre 7-7 last year. I still hate you for stealing Zac Stacy (he was a “my guy” in the NFL draft thread, you bastard!) from me, though.
Exactly. I was projected to be 7-7 and I did way better than that this year. But I always seem to blow it in the first round of the playoffs.
Interestingly enough, I think Varlos got the most accurate preseason prediction. He was predicted to go 9-5 and 1678 and ended with 10-4 and 1709.
I was 4 TEs deep and none of them are starting this weekend.
Well the season-long projections seem to be done stupidly; like, as far as I can tell, if before Week 1 you had a higher projected total than each of your opponents (trying to forecast months out), even if your projection was just 1 point better each time, they’d project you to go 14-0. And even if that’s not how they do it, those projections are still clearly wacky.
However, I think their player and team projections for the upcoming week are pretty good, considering. I’m not saying a good fantasy player can’t do better than Yahoo’s projections, but for the most part their numbers (including the percentage chances they give each team) have felt right to me. When they say before the season that one team will go 13-1 and the other will go 9-5, I don’t think that means anything. But, when they say that in this week’s game one team is a 2:1 favorite over another, I think they’re pretty darn close to being right.
Romo had a good, very helpful matchup (though he couldn’t take advantage of it). Outside of that my only guys with who *don’t *have below average matchups are Emmanuel Sanders and Michael Crabtree, who are the two least impactful guys in my lineup (i.e. the least likely to benefit). Also, my lineup is worse than it looks, since Fitzgerald/Floyd’s matchup against Seattle is the reason I’m starting both Detroit RBs.
Anyway, as it happens, I need for Philip River to have an inexplicably bad game against Oakland to have a good shot here. (Also it would be nice if Detroit would maybe score a touchdown, please.) I’m still hanging in, at least.
Good luck.
Ok, it’s still a game. Going into Monday night, I need Michael Crabtree and Phil Dawson to outscore Vernon Davis by at least 11.5 points. I should note that, a few hours before the Sunday night game, I dropped the Eagles Kicker (Alex Henery) since the forecast called for wind & rain, and picked up SF’s Phil Dawson instead. There was no weather, and Henery put up a very respectable 11 points … so I may very well have fucked my season at 5:49 PM on the last Sunday of the year.
While I’ve some bad fortune this week (mostly the aforementioned matchup disparity, plus Calvin Johnson being banged up and only having a couple of catches), I’ve definitely caught some good luck to still be in this game. Philip Rivers should by rights have had a much bigger game against the Raiders, Hamlet’s Kicker put up a big fat 0 (he missed an extra point!), Adrian Peterson never really got into the game with the Vikings getting blown out, and **Hamlet **seems to have guessed wrong on a pair of sit/start coinflips: Eric Decker (30.1) vs. Keenan Allen (9.5) at WR, and Vernon Davis (???) vs. Julius Thomas (16.8) at TE.
Let’s go Zzzzzzzz!
And a manly “Good Luck!” to Hamlet, who, win or lose, has had a great season.
Total Points Scored: 19,377.02 (+308.73 compared to last year)
Average Points/Team: 1,614.75 (+25.73)
Average Team/Week: 115.34 (+1.84)
– Each division finished at a combined 28-28 (or 16-16 in intradivisional games).
– The Northeast Corridor division had both the two best records in the league and the two worst records; the last place team finished 8 games behind the division winner.
– In contrast, only 3 games separated the winner of the Midwest division from the last place team.
– For the first time in league history, a 9-5 team missed the playoffs (Petey). Most 8-6 teams have made it, historically.
– Average points total per division. . .
Midwest: 1660.3 (118.6/g)
Sun Belt: 1607.4 (114.8/g)
NorthEast: 1576.6 (112.6/g)
– Top Scores of 2013:
Petey (W5): 179.92
Omni (W4): 176.35
Beef (W1): 175.85
Justin (W11): 170.25
Justin (W7): 168.00
Varlos (W13): 164.85
RNATB (W1): 164.50
Omni (W1): 163.78
Justin (W5): 161.82
Beef (W14): 161.24
Hamlet (W9): 159.45
Stringer (W4): 157.52
Justin (W1): 157.25
Hamlet (W4): 155.05
Omni (W14): 153.90
Varlos (W8): 152.30
Stringer (W2): 151.28
Hamlet (W1): 151.15
– That’s 18 scores of 150+, compared to 14 last year. Five of them were in Week 1. Twice someone scored over 150 and lost anyway (**RNATB **in Week 1, and **Hamlet **in Week 4). Justin had the most high-scoring games with 4 (including 3 of the 10 games of 160). **Hamlet **also had 4 if you include his Week 15 playoff game (178.32).
– I tried in vain to find some records that we broke this year. I’m sure there were some, but nothing that 15 minutes of searching could find. I’m assuming that the five scores of 150+ in Week 1 were the most in a single week, if you want to count that. (The average score in Week 1 was 134.26; I’m not checking every week, but the highest average score in any week *last *year was just 122.9 in Week 4, so that may well be a record.) Justin’s 8-game margin over the last place team in his division ties the record set by Petey in 2010. RNATB’s total of 23 roster moves was the 2nd highest we’ve seen: he made 28 moves in 2011. Anyone else have something?
It’s very likely I will outscore both players involved in the championship game, just to add to my irritation at having not made it. Really, when you consider how reliant my team was on Aaron Rodgers, and not having him for half the year, I did remarkably well. Not only was Rodgers gone, replaced by filler, but it affected the value of Jordy Nelson and James Fucking Jones too.
Despite that significant setback, I’ve got a fair shot at finishing the year (weeks 1-16) in scoring. Justin needs 34 out of Gore and Boldin. A close second if not. A year in which two of my best players, Rodgers and Gronk, missed more than half the year, and in which my significant investment to draft the #1 overall pick last year turned out to bust, I was still a historically great Jamaal Charles game away from winning the championship.
I’m closing in on this … basically need to fade a 40-yard TD catch by Vernon Davis or something, and/or hope for some more production from Crabtree/Dawson.