I assume that most of us assumed there was no way in hell Trump will ever become the next president of the United States. If you did feel that way, do you still?
I did, but I have to admit, I’m starting to get a little scared now. Doubt is slowly starting to creep into my mind a little bit. By some chance, through some means, could Donald Trump become next president? Are you worried at all?
Well, my side failed to stop him. Now it’s up to the Democrats. Do not screw this up. BTW, if you really want to avoid screwing it up, nominate Joe Biden. THen it’s a sure thing. The superdelegates can make that happen, Clinton does not have enough pledged delegates to win on the first ballot.
I’ve always been worried to some degree, but not because I think it’s likely. He’s one of the two major party candidates for President and that gives him a chance.
I don’t think he’ll win. That he has any chance at all worries me, and I won’t feel comfortable until November 9th.
Simply being a major party nominee does not necessarily give you a chance. Mondale, Dole, Goldwater, and McGovern were all doomed early on(I think Mondale might have led in January, but by this point in the cycle he was toast.)
Trump should not be leading Clinton in the RCP average, and Sanders is kicking his ass, which means that anyone but Clinton should kick his ass too. It’s like Democrats and Republicans are trying to outcompete each other to see who can lose a winnable election.
I’m increasingly worried. I don’t trust that Clinton has the juice to beat him (and I don’t think Sanders can beat her.) I’m worried about an October Surprise for Clinton. It would be mostly bullshit, of course, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be damaging. She’s way more vulnerable to swiftboating than most people are.
And the whole “she’s been vetted” thing doesn’t impress me. I’m not convinced that we’ve seen a tenth of the bullshit that’s coming her way. And again - it will be mostly bullshit, but bullshit is sticky.
So yeah, I’m worried.
It would be great for everyone except a few if he can win. But it’s improbable that he will win. Hillary will easily beat him I guess.
That’s because for every piece of BS, there’s something truthful that comes out. We know it’s truthful because it didn’t come from Republicans, it came from the NY Times or some other source. Republican attacks won’t defeat her. The mainstream media piling onto the latest scandal will, especially if it’s typical of her character, as in the normal rules don’t apply to her because she’s American royalty.
Thought “Not a chance” at first, now I’m almost certain Trump is going to win. Trump has history on his side, he is going to fucking win!
Sigh… People suck.
It’s not history so much as both parties are just nominating the biggest name rather than the best candidate. The Republicans already screwed their end of it up, Democrats don’t have to repeat the mistake. You’d think the superdelegates would be smarter. They can stop Clinton but they won’t, even though she’s pretty much the only candidate who can blow this.
I don’t quite understand. The media piles on to her but the rules don’t apply to her because she’s royalty? Is this a contradiction?
When Trump announced and paid people $50 a head to applaud him as he came down the escalator, I thought it was just a publicity stunt and I was probably right. He had absolutely no intention of winning. But he has removed all doubt- the Republican base is as dumb as a sack of hammers. Facts absolutely do not matter to them. I’m hoping that in the debates, he’ll come off as the arrogant and ignorant piece of shit that he is and that he makes Hillary look presidential. The Republicans managed to nominate the only guy that Hillary should not normally break a sweat running against and the Democrats have managed to nominate the only person that wouldn’t win 50 states against Trump. I’m still hopeful that these polls are just including bitter Sanders supporters who will come back to the adult table when crunch time comes.
I’m amazed that people who watched him steamroll 16 well funded candidates, candidates who together spent $630 million to try to beat him, think he can’t win. Or even before the votes were cast, I mean he was ahead in most polls since he announced.
I do think now at the GE, there are some historical advantages Hillary does have; Obama’s job approval is net positive and not below 40%. In the last 60 years, only one time did an incumbent President have a net positive job approval and his party nominee that year (either self or successor) lost the popular vote; 1960 (yes I know pop vote doesn’t elect but it has corresponded in the 53 out of 57 US elections). Trump will have an uphill climb to win enough Hispanic and black vote to get to the White House, unless he can really win 70%+ of the white vote. Of course, Hillary is running for a 3rd consecutive term of a party in the WH.
Well, one thing I wouldn’t count on is Trump being beaten by outspending him. He’s just too good at getting free media. Hillary Clinton won’t get any attention unless she says or does something bad. Which is actually good for her, she’s most popular when she’s not campaigning.
To be fair, do you think for a minute that Huckabee, Santorum, and Perry were well funded? These guys weren’t serious from the start. There were about a dozen stiffs plus Bush, Rubio, and Christie. The Rubiobot self-destructed when Christie put it in an endless loop. Christie could not escape his image of a corrupt, obnoxious thug trapped in the body of a walrus. Bush will live on as the textbook example of how all the money and marketing in the world won’t make the public want to buy something they just don’t want to buy. Still, any one of the three would have beaten him in a one on one battle. But there were enough enormous egos in the party that they split the un-batshit vote too many ways and the inmates gained control of the asylum.
His most striking vulnerability is probably something Willie Hortonesque; a policy-type mistake that both makes people question his competence and judgement. Horton wasn’t this personal attack Dems want people to believe it was; it was calling into question both Dukakis’ death penalty stance and toughness on crime. If Trump is going to lose, it’ll probably be on women being punished for abortion, or some guns in schools thing. Throw in a few times he actively sought to benefit from the free trade agreements he now derides, and he’s got a problem.
If Dems could just ditch the SJWs on “Islamic terror,” attacking his Lindberghesque isolationism might be easier. Modern Democrats really need to pick their battles, and stop trying to push the “progressive” stances on Redskins and Islam. The SJWs are doing to the Dems what bible thumpers did to the GOP last decade.
Trump doesn’t have a real record to defend, so that’s probably not a point of vulnerability. I can tell you how I’d beat him, except the Republicans already did all that and it didn’t work…
I’m not worried that he’ll win, yet, but I am worried that the polls seem to be so close. It shakes my faith in the electorate more than anything else and shows what twenty years of right-wing media bullshit can do to poison the political dialogue.
I still think that after the conventions, when people really start seeing Trump and Clinton side-by-side, that he’ll suffer in the comparison. I’d rate his chances to win now around 20%, which is way higher than it should be (0%) but not a shoe-in for Clinton.
I remain of the frequently-expressed view that the biggest threat to Clinton is Clinton. If she can navigate the remainder of the campaign season without any major gaffes, she’ll win. If she pulls another “landing under fire” incident the race will be much closer.
I’ve always been afraid of Trump. I think it’s playing with fire to do things like voting for the worst candidate on the other side with the thought that your side will destroy them. If you’re wrong, congrats, you now have the worst candidate from the other side as your president.
This has nothing to do with the Hannitys, Savages, Limbaughs, etc. None of them saw this coming and a few still won’t accept it (Beck, Levin).
This has everything to do with Donald Trump playing the CNNs, MSNBCs, etc. like fiddles.
What do you think happens if (a) she makes no gaffes between now and the election, and (b) there’s an act of, uh, “radical Islamic terrorism” shortly before the election?