Of course, they don’t have to burn any energy attacking her. They have the whole nest of serpents to do it for them, such as Charlie Kirk then they can run with it as prepackaged bits.
Exactly. There’s a lot of armchair quarterbacks saying Biden should have or shouldn’t have said this or that. None of them are sitting in the White House right now.
The iron law of politics is that you have to win your election if you want to do any good. Sometimes you have to say or do things that may cause you problems down the road. You still have to say or do them. It’s no exaggeration to say the Biden’s commitment to nominate a black woman justice saved his primary campaign.
Do you have any evidence for this? Because this sounds like a completely unsubstantiated assumption. There’s no guarantee that it didn’t lower his margin of victory rather than increase it. The demographics this was designed to appeal to was already overwhelmingly democratic. Sure, could it have given him a boost in voter participation? Maybe. But it might’ve also alienated people who were disgusted with Trump but not liberal and/or not on board with the sort of thinking that leads to picking people based on race/gender first.
It had an outsized effect on the primary and without it there’s likely a different Dem nominee.
I really don’t believe that promise made much of a difference in how the votes played out.
You are wrong. Please read the article linked in post 164.
What? Could you point to a voter that was on the fence but said internally, “Ah, black woman on the Supreme Court? Joe has my vote!”
The point is that Biden was reeling going into the South Carolina primary, having finished fourth in Iowa and fifth in New Hampshire, and a very distant second to Bernie in Nevada. Rep Jim Clyburn’s endorsement – which he had all but conditioned on a candidate promising to name a black woman justice – helped Biden consolidate the black vote and convincingly win South Carolina. Buttigieg and Klobuchar dropped out afterward, leaving Biden as the only moderate in the race going into Super Tuesday where he essentially sealed up the nomination.
Jim Clyburn
He already had the black vote in SC. Is there evidence that this promise secured a vote?
It’s not that Biden’s pledge to nominate a black woman to the Supreme Court earned him a lot of votes. It earned him the right votes (black primary voters), in the right place (South Carolina), at the right time (the day of the SC primary).
His big win in South Carolina changed the trajectory of the primary. He was dead in the water before it.
Evidence…
Everyone knew that Biden would get the black vote in SC. Your cite is two years prior to the vote.
And the precedent is bad. Pledge to appoint a redneck white boy farmer before Iowa to get some votes. Bad all around.
What?
Biden greatly overperformed what the polling was showing just a few days before the primary. I hate you for making me cite Chris Cillizza:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/25/politics/joe-biden-south-carolina-poll-bernie-sanders/index.html
I concede my error. All that shows is that people rallied around the eventual nominee like how is happened in every primary when before we are wetting ourselves about a brokered convention. What is the evidence that his pledge solidified the black vote?
Here’s the 538 SC primary polling average. Clyburn’s endorsement (conditioned on Biden’s pledge) changed everything.
I remember there were people on this board who said the Republicans would go easy on Biden’s nominee because it would still be a 6-3 conservative majority on the Court.
Bet you feel pretty silly now.
So she should have been a little more black?
