I’m sorry, that should obviously be that the Republicans still have the majority. It’s not even 10 PM here and I’m tired.
In other news of the evening, the great state of South Dakota appears to have rejected the total ban on abortion.
Two things would be certain: Joe Lieberman is would get a hole bored through his ass from all the french kissing, and Dick Cheney would be voting a lot of tiebreakers.
Well, that’s one proposition that I’m glad passed. It doesn’t seem like there was much to be happy about with the rest of them.
Wow, that’s great news! And the anti-SSM amendment in VA passed, by only by 57%. That’s actually pretty amazing. Even in CA just 6 years ago, a similar measure got a lot more votes. Times are changing!
Anyone have a good over all picture for how things are shaping up? A friend of mine said the Dems look to have at least a 20+ majority in the house, while the Pubs are still holding on to a slim lead in the Congress…but gods know where he got that idea from, I can’t find anything firm (and I’m working late tonight).
Anyone know?
-XT
And by passed, I mean rejected. It is getting late.
Just ran through the Va county breakdown. There’s about 10 counties with votes outstanding. Most are Webb counties. There are two exceptions, but even if the webb counties are ignored, there’s no way Allen is going to pick up 2500 votes in those two counties.
The early Richmond City returns were not the heaviest Dem locales, it appears. The last 30% of its precincts turned in a truly overwhelming Webb landslide.
Has anyone heard any predictions on how the absentees are likely to break?
Hold everything… The official Va site has 99.1% reporting, with Allen up by 1800 votes. Will check to see where they are.
If they win by adding Ford and Casey, then those guys are more conservative than Lieberman, so it depends on what’s being voted on. I don’t think people around here understand just how conservative those guys are. I suspect that will be true of the MO and MT candidates, too, assuming they win. You have to look past the “R” and the “D” when you’re talking specific legislation.
It looks like the Democrats have GAINED 20 seats so far, but that’s just what I’ve heard from confirmed races. A 20-seat majority would mean a real landslide; I don’t know if it’s plausible.
MSNBC has the Dems picking up 33 seats in the House. They have at least three pick ups in the Senate with a couple of nail biters still going on. It looks like Webb might squeak out Va, but the Dems might fall a seat or two short in the Senate.
Dems have a clear win in the House. I’ve seen projections of up to a 30-seat majority, but a lot of races are extremely close - for example, in my district, the incumbent Republican (Rob Simmons) is ahead by ~2000 votes (of 210k+ cast) with 87% reporting.
In the Senate, it’s at 48-48 with four races up for grabs: Tennessee, Missouri, Virginia, and Montana. In Virginia, well, it’s REALLY close, as you can see from the posts here. The Republican candidate in TN is currently ahead 51%-48% with 88% of precincts reporting. In Missouri, the Republican is up 51-45 with 58% reporting. Montana is way too early to really call, and could be pivotal. The Dems obviously need three of four. Getting all my numbers here - hope that helps.
Quote of the night from an MSNBC Analyst whose name I didn’t catch: “Norhtern Virginia is doing its best to secede from the Confederacy.”
I think Missouri’s a wash. McCaskill hasn’t gained any ground on Talent for the last two hours.
Montana looks better, but there’s only 19% of precincts reporting so far. Tester over Burns by 14%. Virginia’s going to be a nailbiter. Even if Webb wins tonight, Virginia law allows a candidate who loses by less than 1% to demand and receive a recount. It could be a week before we know the final outcome of that race.
Tennessee’s another “I’m going to be up way too late tonight” state. 88% of precincts in with a 3% gap between Ford and Corker.
And I’m spanked by Kiros…
Biggest single group still out is Richmond City (94% reporting), but there’s a few odds ‘n’ ends from Allen counties. If the official site is more accurate than CNN’s, it looks a bit better for Allen, but still a Webb win. (Richmond City’s 6% out should give Webb 4500 more votes, more than enough to erase the 1800 vote lead, and the other counties’ outstanding precincts should break about even.
Amazing.
Is it possibile that the official site is counting absentees? If not, I don’t understand the discrepancy with CNN
If it helps, Missouri just pulled a little bit closer, and there’s still a long way to go there. We’ll see how long I feel like staying up, watching CNN, and hitting “refresh” tonight before wiser heads prevail.
Their margin-of-error is 8 right now with that number. So if it turned out to be on the high side of that (unlikely, but possible) you could see a 50 SEAT Democratic majority.
The newest numbers care of CNN. 99% reporting.
Democratic Webb
1,143,144 50%
Republican Allen
1,140,879 49%
The lead has shrunk by 100 votes.