Handicapping the finalists:
Spencer - I don’t really get the love he seems to have generated. Maybe it is because he reminds fans of themselves. Maybe not the strongest, but not weak. Not the best looking, but not bad. Maybe a little awkward socially, but also a lot smarter than average. He’s certainly playing the game better this time around, but to me that seems exactly what he is doing - playing the game. He strikes me as the kind of guy who, if he wasn’t in the game, might be a bit of a dick.
Still, has to be considered a favorite to win it.
Jeremy - He has to be the most likable Survivor left. Still, he really hasn’t excelled at any part of the game. Even in challenges, despite his strength advantage. Also a favorite, but a target, too.
Keith - Better at challenges than I would have expected, but no other skills at all. Nobody seems to even care about him, and I don’t either. Can’t see him winning but might get to the end because everyone thinks they can beat him. His speech at final Tribal Council would be a train wreck.
Tasha - Smart and capable, but like Keith she seems to be a middle-of-the-pack player. Her name rarely comes up in the “We have to get rid of this player” discussions. She’s not the least threatening, but never the most.
Wentworth - A lot like Jeremy. Really pretty (love those glasses!) but not great at anything. For some reason, she’s my darkhorse.
Kimmy - Gosh, I had to look it up on Wikipedia to even remember who the last one was. She just doesn’t have anything going for her. I have no clue why she was even picked for the show.
My odds:
Spencer 30%
Jeremy 30%
Wentworth 20%
Tasha 15%
Kimmi and Keith Eh, just divvy the 5% up any way you want.