But, he has gotten the hero edit. I believe it is very likely he wins it all.
They were stupid not to take out Tai, I think he wins it all now, with Cydney as a close second.
That would have been risky because they didn’t know what the secret advantage was. It could have been the ability to play the idol after the vote.
But the worst case in that situation would be the exact same result, only with Tai’s idol gone.
Tai’s gotten a good edit, but he’s also the type of guy with a unique personality who would be getting a lot of time anyways, plus being involved in HIIs/adavantages/etc. I’d guess that he goes out right before the final, and my pick to win (solely examining edit) is Aubry.
Other players have gotten a “hero edit” and lost anyway; Rupert is the most notable example. Ozzy also got a very favorable edit in several appearances and never won.
Aubry is my pick as well. Yes, Tai could win, but I agree that it’s more likely that he gets eliminated just before F3. “We can’t let Tai make it to final three” has been a constant refrain from players this season. He does have that extra vote, but that won’t necessarily save him. The extra vote advantage has appeared twice before on Survivor and it hasn’t had much impact. The loathsome Dan Foley (from season 30) actually got blindsided when he used his extra vote.
Watching the 71 year old elder of the tribe stagger around and when not staggering, sitting or quitting out of games is, for me, bemusing.
He has 0% of chance of winning unless everybody including the jury dies in a freak accident on the final show - what a show that would be!
So, why does he sit around like Aubry has left her grandfather at the library while she goes shopping?
Come on Joe, shake it up, or take the next horse and buggy out of there.
He’s decent at puzzles. But staying below the radar is a decent strategy. Sure, you might not win, but second place aint bad.
All the more reason to flush it out; if Tai is in the final three, I think he wins.
So the way the challenge worked was that if your key doesn’t work you have to go back out. I don’t know why everyone didn’t try at least one key before they went back out (unless they just didn’t show it). The knots didn’t seem that hard to untie, and you at least have a small chance of picking the right one.
Wha?? I have been surprised to see so few people on various forums touting Michele, but this is even more incomprehensible. I have watched every episode of every season but one of Survivor, and I consider her one of the very best to ever play the game. No exaggeration!
In addition to the usual winning characteristics (good at challenges, smart, strategic, good social game and jury management), she is careful not to let Jeff’s TC questions lead or provoke her into saying something impolitic. I consider this an overlooked and very important *Survivor *skill. It’s not a skill, of course, that CBS is going to play up, because they don’t want to encourage it. There was a very overrated player from a few seasons back named Kim Spradin who won despite being terrible at this. And the very underrated player who won the previous seasion, Sophie Clarke, IMO did so in part because she was good at it.
Has she really done anything though? It seems like every move she’s made has been someone else going “I have plan, lets see if we can get Michelle to go along with it.”
Didn’t she found the cute girl alliance on the beauty tribe? (Of which she is the last woman standing.)
“There’s no better way to show my loyalty than to vote out my biggest ally”.
Well, that makes sense!! 
Holy shit, Tai. I think that’s the worst TC play I’ve seen that didn’t involve getting oneself voted out. So many mistakes - first, he cannot just shut up. He basically gives away that his advantage ISN’T a second Idol (which is very important because the threat of a super Idol is basically making him invulnerable), and then goes on and on about how Michelle is on the bottom as if he’s trying to convince her why she should just give up when it’s just making her more likely to turn on him. Second, he then goes and uses his extra vote (when he’s better off saving it when one vote means more)… and completely wastes it.
Both challenges were pretty cool, though. The person-sized balance maze was fun, and Cydney certainly Tortoise-and-the-Hare’d the heck outta the block balancing one.
The 4 folks who voted for Jason should’ve voted for Tai.
Yeah. This is a throwback to older seasons of the show where people would happily ride the “stick with our 6-person alliance” train all the way to the end and not even be surprised or upset when they were ditched by said alliance just before final three.
Although with Tai’s extra vote there’s no way they could have actually done anything this week, not everyone knew that and they should have tried. Or at least spook Tai into using his idol.
Yeah, Tai is pretty stupid and is pissing everyone off. I take back my prediction that he wins it. Not a lot of great players this season. Cyd is pretty good and Michele was surprisingly good on the puzzle challenge with the knots, but there is no mastermind.
I think if Tai makes it to the end, he wins. He’s got his idol to play next week, so he just has to win immunity the week after and he’s done.
It’s likely that the extra vote and the idol both expire next TC, so it made sense to use one this week, the other next. Not that the way he used it made sense.
There’s speculation it will be a final 2, not a final 3. 5 people left, and 2 episodes, so 4 going into the 2 hour finale would mean only a single elimination before the final TC. That’s pretty unusual. So he may have to survive 2 TCs to get to the jury.