The 2016 Republican candidates

Reagan did. Not that that refutes your argument.

And there’s this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncUYEKz8In4

It is because of 1) the history:

And 2) the present:

Given how high the numbers are for people supporting right to work, it would be very unlikely if minorities were against it. But I’m welcome to see polling that shows they are against right to work if you can produce it.

As for the history, unions themselves are racist if we go by history, and abortion is “really” about eugenics, especially reducing the minority population.

(Sigh.) What in blazes are you taking about? As someone of generous inclination, I would like to think that last sentence is some crippled form of satire.

You actually don’t know the history of Planned Parenthood?

After a lot of thinking, I’m switching to Lindsey Graham as my favorite. He’s already earned John McCain’s endorsement:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/03/05/graham_is_serious_about_2016_but_does_he_have_a_prayer.html

And he’s not as long a shot as some might think given his talents.

He’s definitely one of the more sane Republicans, but he’s way too hawkish and on the wrong side of gay marriage. However, the odds of his being nominated are roughly the same as that of the Titanic spontaneously reassembling, rising to the surface, and finishing its trip to New York.

the GOP field is too unpredictable. McCain was supposed to be dead in the water but he won the nomination. The advantage of being the sane candidate is that the insane candidates eliminate themselves, leaving you standing. Plus he’s got some potential advantages in the early primary states.

Besides, I only said that’s who my favorite is right now, not that I’m predicting victory for him.:slight_smile:

I’m sure the last thing he would want is a victory prediction from you. He wouldn’t be the worst choice, but you have to keep your eye on the money. Bush has it. Nobody else does.

BTW, I realize this is the Republican thread, but this definitely pertains to their chances of winning in 2016: The President’s approval has started to return to the low 40s. He’s currently standing at 43.8%.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

So unless things turn around, Republicans will be going into 2016 with a major advantage.

Unless things change… LOL. Sure, things don’t change. I’m sure counting on things not changing is going to go great.

He was underwater two years ago, it’s likely he’ll be underwater two years from now.

Says adaher, which doesn’t make it true. This is just a random prediction, and it’s no more meaningful than a role of the dice.

A lot more goes into approval than a roll of the dice. Has any President in history ever spent most of his Presidency underwater and finished strong? I’m open to hearing about any examples. And relevant to this thread, has any President seen a successor from his own party elected to succeed him while his approval was underwater?

I’m seeing nothing more significant than a roll of the dice in your predictions. They’re just guesses. Your track record at this is terrible, so I’m not going to play this silly game.

Then you could have just said nothing, since I acknowledged that things could change.

Then I’d be shirking my duty on “adaher lazy post” patrol. :smiley:

There is a very short list of people who we can be sure will *not *be candidates in 2016. He’s on it.

Seriously, you could look it up.