We’ve talked a bit about people dropping out in other threads, but I thought it would be nice to have a dedicated thread for news and predictions. So far, we’ve had Scott Walker, Rick Perry, Bobby Jindal, and Lindsey Graham drop out on the Republican side. (I didn’t miss anyone, did I?) On the Democrat side, we’ve had Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb drop.
Any predictions on who’s next? I’ve long thought Chris Christie would be dropping out, but he seems to be doing well in New Hampshire so I think he’ll stick around at least until then. I don’t expect Santorum to drop, either, since he did so poorly in 2012 and then ended up winning Iowa at the last minute.
At this point, my prediction for next to drop on the Republican side is Rand Paul. I’ve heard some people point to his father sticking around long after it was clear he wouldn’t win as an indication that Rand would do the same. But Rand strikes me as much more of a diva than his father ever was, and he’s clearly not handling being “the candidate no one takes seriously” nearly as well as Ron did.
On the Democrat side, I don’t know why the hell O’Malley hasn’t dropped. My best guess is that he’s staying in on the off-chance that some major scandal will emerge with Hillary, in which case he’s hoping people will flock to him as a “safer” choice than Bernie. If that’s what he’s doing, I have no clue when he’ll drop out.
What do you all think? Who’s in it for the long haul, and who’s leaving soon?