I agree with all your picks. Helen Mirren will probably win too.
Look for Altman to get a Director nod for Prairie Home Companion. He might have gotten one anyway, even if he hadn’t died (RIP).
Flushed Away, Happy Feet and Cars will be nominated for Best Animated Feature.
To use the old cliche, I’m going to go out on a limb and say that Daniel Craig will get a Best Actor nomination for Casino Royale. Once everybody stops laughing, I’ll continue…
Forrest Whitaker will probably be nominated and might very well win for The Last King of Scotland.
There are whispers of awe at Leonardo Dicaprio’s performace in Blood Diamond so he could get nominated for that instead of The Departed
There’s also buzz about Peter O’Toole’s performance in a movie called Venus, which opens limited on Dec. 20, and Ryan Gosling’s performance in Half-Nelson, which I missed, and I’ll kick myself (for missing it) if he gets nominated.
We have yet to see how Matt Damon and George Clooney are in their Good movies (Damon in The Good Shepherd, and Clooney in The Good German. Btw, their name similarities will cause problems, because they’re also both post-WWII period films. I wonder how many people will go to see one when they actually meant to see the other, just like I wonder how many people saw The Guardian when they actually meant to see The Departed. At least in this case I think both will be very Good movies). We also have yet to see how Will Smith is in The Persuit of Happyness (oh god I hate that title!).
Meryl Streep will get a Best Actress nomination for The Devil Wears Prada, though I honestly think she belongs in Supporting.
Documentary nominations will include An Inconvenient Truth and (oh god, please make it so) Shut Up and Sing.
Marie Antoinette should have no problem getting nods for Costume, Art Direction and Cinematography. Maybe makeup too.
There’s talk of Dreamgirls being this year’s Chicago. It’s getting phenomenal buzz.
Little Miss Sunshine will probably get an Original Screenplay nomination.
A surprise nom could be Penelope Cruz for Volver.
Children of Men will get nominations for Cinematography and Art Direction, and maybe Actor (Clive Owen), Best Picture, and Director.
Flags of Our Fathers could get Best Picture and Best Director (Clint Eastwood) nominations, but it’s iffy since the movie came, died, and went.
Who/what should get nominated and won’t? Toby Jones as Truman Capote in Infamous, because of Philip Seymour Hoffman’s win last year, Sandra Bullock (yes, Sandra Bullock) as Nelle Harper Lee in the same movie, Sasha Baron Cohen for his Borat, Catherine O’Hara as Marilyn Hack in For Your Consideration, Marie Antoinette for Best Picture, Actress (Kirsten Dunst) and Sofia Coppola as Director (ok, so I’m a dreamer). Also, Idlewild (my favorite movie of the year so far) for Costumes, Art Direction and Cinematography. The Science of Sleep for Art Direction and Screenplay (I’m not sure which category).
More as I ponder, research and as the awards season kicks into full gear (I talk in cliches way too often, I know). I said after last year’s terrible loss of Brokeback Mountain that I wasn’t going to pay attention, let alone care, about the Academy Awards anymore. And I don’t care. As much, anyway. I still can’t help myself from being curious, because being an awards season junkie is so much a part of my DNA, and what’s the awards season without the Academy Awards?