Here’s our thread on the upper house: Senate races 2026
Thought we ought to have one on the House of Representatives, as well.
Here’s Wiki: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections - Wikipedia
These may also be of interest:
I suspect control of the house will be determined by an election this year as much as those in 2026. I think it’s all riding on whether California voters approve retaliatory gerrymandering this November.
Before we get to the 2026 election, there’s going to be some interesting politicking in certain House districts. Specifically in TN-07. Perhaps in other districts if more vacancies occur next year.
With Adelita Grijalva’s win in AZ, the Rs have a 219-214 majority in the House of Representatives. There’ll be another election on 4-Nov in TX-18 to fill a vacancy there. That district is D+21, so most likely a D win. That will reduce the R margin to 219-215.
But then there’s a vacancy in TN-07, which is an R+10 district. Normally, that would be fairly safe for the Rs, but in most special elections this year, the Ds have been winning by far more than the nominal partisan lean of the district in question. Usually by double digits. For example, Grijalva won by about 49 points in a D+13 district.
So I expect that Tennessee district to be suddenly competitive. The primary is 7-Oct and the general 2-Dec. Ballotpedia list 4 Democrats and 11 Republicans in the primary.