80% in and warnock leads.
I wonder what’s up with that? I’m getting nervous about the results, though.
78% of votes are in and Warnock is up by 21,000 or so. Still a good amount of vote in the Atlanta metro area to come in. It will mostly be same day vote. Hopefully that will break for Warnock.
NYT has removed the needle altogether.
Most of what’s left is same-day in counties that will break heavily for Warnock. It’ll be ok.
This is giving me agita.
As long as the margin is kinda close while the Atlanta metro counties have a lower % reported than the total, there’s not much reason to worry, at least in my understanding.
ABC news has Warnock up by 19,000 at 82% in: https://abcnews.go.com/
This is nervewracking, like a superbowl game that has a 1 point difference in the score.
Now a big dump for Walker… WTF??
You KNOW there’s at least one recount on this one.
Next time, when there is a hotly contested Senate seat, could you folks please ensure that the candidates do not have names beginning with the same two letters?
Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Geez, it appears there are a LOT of people in GA who will vote for a sack of dirt before they will vote for a Democrat. (not suggesting Walker is a sack of dirt, just saying these people won’t vote for a Democrat for any reason.)
And it’s currently much lower. Just skimming the county map, it’s hard to find a red county with <95% counted. But Fulton is only 55% counted, DeKalb 65% counted, Cobb 68%, etc. These are very heavily Warnock–(DeKalb 91%, for instance).
Exactly.
Walker can start packing to go back to Texas. It’s already over. Warnock is going back to the Senate. 
This is like ossoff in the last runoff. Total see saw.
Seems like warnock is picking up the point or two that the libertarian had in some of the red counties.
This thing is done:
There’s also this:
When Walker didn’t campaign for five straight days over Thanksgiving and nobody complained, you knew it was over except for the voting.
NYtimes has it at 95% likely to be Warnock and 538 is saying 98.5% likely.
I think Warnock has it.
They are saying too close to call, warnock lead. Walker just did not pick up the points that Oliver had in the red counties. They kept splitting between the 2 candidates.
Well this is certainly a telling thing:
So if the trend here holds, Republicans are going to wind up not picking up even a single Democratic-held Senate seat. That’s pretty hard to do. Even in 1998 and 2002 (relatively bad midterms for the opposition party), they did pick up at least one Senate seat while others flipped in the other direction.
And…
If Warnock does indeed win tonight, this election cycle will be the first since the direct election of senators began in 1914 in which no incumbent has lost reelection, either in a primary or a general election. And furthermore, this will be the first time since 1934 that any president, Democrat or Republican, has seen all incumbent senators of their party running for reelection win. In 1934, no Democratic incumbents lost reelection despite the president being a Democrat. Since then, every Democratic president has seen at least one Democratic senator lose reelection in each midterm, and every Republican president has seen at least one Republican senator lose per midterm.
Remind me again how midterms are bad for the incumbent President?