Vice President predictions

I’m 99% certain that, just as Obama was pretty much certain to pick a white running mate, Hillary will pick a male running mate.

I think that’s exactly right, but if Warren was willing to say yes that has to be tempting.

ALthough I still stand by my prediction that Clinton is most likely to pick a longtime loyalist. If I had to bet on one person, I’d bet on Tom Vilsack.

Vilsack went to my high school, so I like him for that, but he’s about as exciting as vanilla yogurt and might not even be able to deliver Iowa. Not much to show for his work at USDA, either.

Here’s Trump on what he’d look for in a running mate: Donald Trump reveals what he wants in a running mate

Mark Cuban for Trump’s veep. Dude’s cut from the exact same cloth as Trump, and he doesn’t take away from Trump’s “outsider” vibe. Plus, he’s got solid name recognition. He’s a libertarian, voted for Obama (so he could say “Hey, I wanted to like the guy; but he failed me and he failed America.”

Plus Vilsack is like a combo of Beavis, Butthead, and Wayne’s World.

Oh please, Donald is going to pick someone “political”, like he said himself and I very much predicted. He is an outsider himself so therefore would choose a Republican career politician. Firstly to rubbish up his ticket, one can’t have two non politicians on a major party ticket, for all the talk of being outsiders and non establishments. As they say there is a limit to everything. Secondly with a career politician, it would further augment Trump’s legitimacy to the party. It’s very important for Trump going into the general election to have a an establish GOP person as it shows to America, to GOP, to Democrats and all, that someone in the party said “yes Donald, I will be your VP”. Plus it will help him with many Republican voters who may stay home or defect to Clinton/Sanders if Trump is the nominee.
So no it won’t be Mark Cuban or any billionaire. His running mate will be a politician.

Relax, it was just an thought, not a prediction or suggestion or desire on my part.

And I’m still having a hard time believing any “established” GOPer will attach him/herself to this train wreck.

Ay, there’s the rub. Is Admiral Stockdale still available?

VPs are supposed to be boring. Exciting VPs are usually chosen by losing candidates who need a Hail Mary. Clinton is cautious by nature. If she is confident of a lead heading into the general, she’ll play it conservative. The problem with a Castro is that if he appears unready, gets exposed in interviews or something, then it hurts the ticket. Vilsack neither hurts nor helps the ticket, and Clinton can be assured that he’s 100% working for her interests, whereas Castro will have his own ambitions to think about. Which involve how to prosper even if the ticket loses.

Actually, Rick Scott has been rumored as a possible pick. Which would make it the most hated ticket ever if it was actually elected. 60% of the country’s heads would explode.

If Castro isn’t ready for primetime, Clinton won’t pick him, but I think she and her team will have a good vetting process. If they think he has a good chance of helping the ticket, they’ll pick him in a heartbeat.

It’s impossible to vet how a candidate performs under the media glare. Is there any evidence that either Castro is well versed in national issues, aside from HUD in the case of Julian? If they aren’t, would that be a deterrent to their selection?

I guess since he’s a Democrat, we can safely assume he won’t get the “pop quiz” treatment, but still.

Here’s an article promoting Sherrod Brown as a likely pick:

Possible, but I think he’s too old. I think Hillary would only pick him if she thought she was in big trouble in the general, and it wasn’t against Rubio (so maybe if Kasich is the nominee). If Rubio is the nominee, I’d almost guarantee that Hillary picks a Hispanic VP.

63 is too old?

I am definitely down with the appeal of selecting a Latino, but if she goes with anyone who is not Hispanic, it should be Brown, for sure.

I’m not sure it matters, since Latinos don’t vote by race. Guess who won the Latino vote in the Nevada GOP contest? Donald Trump, not Rubio or Cruz.

Those are Latino Republicans, and as noted at the debate tonight, it was a small sample. I’m not really concerned with the kind of Latinos that vote in GOP primaries.

So Latino Democrats vote based on race, while Latino Republicans are above that?

I wouldn’t call it “above”, but unlike most Republicans I don’t believe “colorblindness” is our highest calling.

Obviously, since a lot of Democrats seem to think that if the GOP gets a Latino, they need one too.