How have I never heard of Tim Scott before! I shall call him “Teaparty Obama” from here on out.
It happened in 1864.
Politically, they may. Why pretend politics doesn’t exist in these kinds of discussions?
No way. If Brown were to win, Kasich picks the replacement and every senate seat for the Dems is vital.
Hmmm…how long until the special election?
Well, if you haven’t seen it yet Chris Christie just endorsed Trump so I’m going to say he moves to the head of the line for possible VP choices for Donald. Yeah, I know, they are both from the northeast but if you think about it they have similar pugialistic styles. I could see him having a great deal of appeal to the angry GOP voters.
That is bizarre. I really didn’t think Trump was going to get endorsements.
I think Trump should pick Kasich for VP. It would be perfect for his general election shift to the center and you could probably get some nice rumours going that it would be a Bush-Cheney deal (ie Kasich would do most of the thinking) for the moderates scared shitless of Trump. It would get the party a lot happier about the Trump nomination, especially since I suspect Trump wants to be a one termer so he could quietly promise he’s handing the 2020 nomination to Kasich. Win all around.
Plus it would make adaher happy, which would be nice.
No, it would not. I don’t want Kasich anywhere near a Trump candidacy. Keep governing Ohio.
Well I’ve been a long time fan of Sherrod Brown for Clinton but the loss of the Senate seat … nevermind.
My big fandom is only partially his being a Progressive and from Ohio and more his rural cred. I am of the belief that the party needs major outreach to rural voters if they are to make any significant down ticket progress. With that as backdrop I now put forth Tom Vilsack, current Secretary of Agriculture, early Hillary endorser, former governor of Iowa. Point person for Obama on the heroin epidemic and rising suicide rates. Very ready to step in if needed. And she likes rewarding loyalty.
Also played with the 538 app … assuming Trump and the risk hanging on non-college educated White voter turnout and share … placing the app at 50/50 for college educated Whites, moving Black to 86%D/61%, and White non-college educated 66%R/65%turnout … Iowa becomes both a swing and a tipping point state. Along with Ohio, Florida, and Wisconsin.
Interestingly and in the plus for Castro, in many marginal cases increasing Hispanic turnout and D share just a little flips not only Florida but Wisconsin too. I came up with tie putting non-college educated White at 69%R/65%turnout with the same as above (both popular vote and EV) but flip both just moving Hispanic to 77%D/54%turnout.
That was my pick too. Vilsack just makes sense in every way. Ready to be President, can deliver a swing state(albeit a small one, but every little bit helps), and loyal to Clinton, unlikely to have ambitions of his own.
Terry Mac also makes sense, but would probably upset the Sanders fans. That ticket is just too Wall Street, too cronyist.
If national security and foreign policy come to dominate the debate. Wes Clark is still available too.
I think it’s very unlikely she’ll pick someone as old as Vilsack. When was the last time a 65+ party nominee picked a 65+ running mate?
A note on black voter turnout – the very high turnout of black voters in South Carolina on Saturday may indicate that 2008 and 2012 were the beginning of permanent changes, rather then temporary blips, in black voter turnout. Baseline black voter turnout may just be very high from now on.
But would you vote Trump if Kasich was his VP?
It is well established to be a long term trend that predates Obama: Black turnout precent has been linearly increasing since 1996.
I thought he would go for the VP bait, Christie that is, not to mention I think Ted Cruz is of the belief that Mr Trump would choose him for VP.
Who can beat Hillary is the big question … Trump with NY savvy and Christie with NJ savvy go together like biscuits and gravy.
No way. You must be thinking still in terms of when Cruz was kissing Trump’s ass last fall. The last couple weeks and especially the last few days he has burned all bridges in that respect. Yesterday he said on two different Sunday morning shows that he suspected Trump was reluctant to release his tax returns because of his ties with the Mafia.
Not sure. But then when has there been a 70 year old Republican running against a 69 year old Democrat? 65 just aint old anymore and little about this election depends on precedence.
He is if anything at 65 young for the room.
Age in this case is the price he pays for having actual relevant experience and proven competency in governance. And that will a large part of the package being sold with that choice. Along with the rural issues cred, and the potential impact on a few potentially very close states. In point of fact an older presidential candidate all the more should have an experienced VP who can step in if needed as, well, it is less unlikely a possibility than with a younger President.
No question Julian Castro also has a good case: increases the odds of a strong Hispanic turnout with an even better D lean. Might help with Millennial turnout, maybe. Yes good to groom him as part of the bench for future presidential runs and in Texas there are limited opportunities to gain the sort of experience needed otherwise. There are good reasons for him be the most talked about contender. But he does not have the experience needed to step in, and undercuts from that proven actual competence theme.
Apparently Labor Sec Tom Perez is picking up some buzz. I’d be okay with that pick, although his resume is a little short on meaningful experience. Well, aside from the cabinet position.