The days just seemed to keep getting shorter as the number of people left in town dwindled. There were only 9 of them left, and the town knew that every lynch had to be a good one if they were going to survive. Pygmy Rugger was fingered early for his ability to escape the noose in previous days. The votes came in quickly, and it seemed that there would be yet another speed lynch, this time with Pygmy as the victim. But then doubt set in. New theories came forward and the town was divided. Would Pygmy be the lynch victim? Yes, and with less than half the town in favor of his lynch Pygmy Rugger is strung up by the neck.
Pygmy Rugger - mafia
is dead.
48 hours from right now is when the night votes are due.
*To no one’s great surprise…**Pleonast ** was found murdered in the streets moments before dawn. What was surprising was that, attached to his body, with what appeared to be large wooden spikes made of chopped up bowling pins, was an oversized note saying:
“THE MASONS SLEEP WITH THE FISHES.
NANER NANER NANER, YOU WILL NEVER CATCH US!
Love,
the Mafia”
written in **Pleonasts ** own blood. This was surprising for a variety of reasons, it was a break from traditional form, (the mafia are typically more subtle), was totally audacious (were they not afraid of getting caught?), but mostly it was suprising because it was…completely ridiculous. Were the mafia losing their minds?
Strange things were afoot in Doperville.*
**Pleonast ** - Mason
Is dead
72 hours from right now puts the day ending at 12:45 pacific time on Friday.
Here are the remaining players
brewha
Fretful Porpentine
Kat
Lakai
Queuing
StarvingButStrong
Storyteller0910
So that was no surprise. However I wonder something? Did the scum move to quick this time?
SBS said she wouldn’t be on for another 9 hours. This post was made at 10am my time, yet her last activity was 11:35am. No posts, just latest activity. Was this just a check to see who had died? NAF didn’t post that until 1145am my time. This could explain the lack of posts. It was her lunch time, she checked in, the death had not been posted and she has yet to check back in. This doesn’t really exonerate her of course, as she could have very easily gone and checked the scum boards, found who died and voted in their, but it could be a check in her favour.
Let us look at who is left:
brewha
Fretful Porpentine
Kat
Lakai
Queuing
StarvingButStrong
Storyteller0910
Going by what I think and what I know (that I am town), my process of elimination is such:
brewha - TOWN (either brilliant or crazy)
Fretful Porpentine
Kat
Lakai - Had a reading from a known cop, came up town, yes could be GF, or it could have been wrong
Queuing - TOWN
StarvingButStrong - TOWN (thoughtful analysis re: PR, helped get him lynched, the whole wacky time theory thing)
Since there is more then one scum left I am quite comfortable voting for either Fretful Porpentine or Kat. If I had to choose I go with Kat. No votes, just FOS!
Storyteller0910 - TOWN (has pushed alone for a while for 2 lynches, both scum, good enough for me)
Well, I feel pretty good about the Pygmy Rugger lynch, but this is tempered by the fact that I couldn’t possibly have less idea where to go from here.
If Pygmy’s recent posts are reflective of the truth, then there are only two Mafia left. That means, I think, that whatever happens, there are a maximum of three game Days left, and we have to make a correct lynch two times out of three. We have a tiny, tiny margin for error, but we’re down to it now.
So this was the final vote count? Hmm. Looking at this it would seem odd that Kat wouldn’t have switched her vote. All she would have had to do is switch to Lakai, and Lakai would get lynched. Or any of the ones who voted for PR. So does that mean all 4 who voted for PR are more likely town? Kat voted early for PR, and left it there the whole time. So geez, I don’t know. Does it mean Lakai is scum too and Kat saw no benefit in switching to him? Or does it mean, bar none, that storyteller is freaking brilliant and has been the GF the whole time? Not just of the Mafia but the whole damn game? Pushed for a scum lynch only when safe, knowing his FOS of FCOD wouldn’t lead anywhere at that time, but potentially would give him enormous town cred later? If that last part is true, sir you truly are a master.
I started reading from page 72, and my god is brewha just everywhere. Its hard to even decipher it is so much all over the place. Also once PR reached the lynch countdown brewha immediately unvoted him and went for the only other person who had a vote on him. I really have no idea what to think.
Storyteller, o wise one, any chance you could read over the last few pages (I started from when the SK was killed), and tell us what you think?
My gut is no saying its the four who voted for PR who are town. Stupid gut won’t make up its mind.
That’s not technically true, whether it looks like that or not. I was composing the post in which I unvoted Pygmy Rugger when the fifth person voted for him. It was only after I submitted my post that I saw that he was up to five votes. Not that it makes a difference, I just wanted to state that I unvoted him for my own reasons, not because the vote countdown had started.
I think Lakai is still a safe bet to lynch. He was on my list of 4 from yesterday and second in line in Pleonast’s list right under Pygmy Rugger. Unfortunatly, I have no idea who to lynch after him.
I tend to now beleive that PR may have slipped up and revealed that there are only two mafia left now. Which is great, we got three chances to get two mafia.
Does anyone mind if I stop boldfacing everyone’s names? It’s getting frustrating.
Eh. I think it could go either way. Switching from PR to Lakai at the day’s end would have been a very dangerous Mafia move; it would have gotten Lakai lynched, yes, but it also would have placed a neat flashing sign over the head of the switcher that said “I am Mafia, Ask Me How.”
…or it would have if Lakai was actually town. If Lakai turns out to be a baddie, which I think is not likely but possible, then switching from PR to Lakai would have netted no benefit for the Mafia in question.
I have very little right now. I don’t share Queuing’s seeming comfort with brewha. I don’t know what brewha’s deal is, actually, but I’d like to do a bit of reading on it and see what I can see.
I do think Queuing is town.
The rest of the town is in a big muddy mass in my head - Lakai, SbS, Kat, and Fretful are basically all a mystery to me. I think it’s dead sure and certain that at least one, and possibly two, of that group is Mafia. I’m also totally sure that I have no idea which, nor any idea how to do the separating. If anybody has suggestions, I am all ears.
This is something we really need to look into. A mafia member should not have gotten lynched yesterday. Why did the Pygmy Rugger lynch go through? For this analysis I’m gonna assume that there were three mafia left at this vote.
I was running through possible reasons that the mafia lynch could have possibly gone through and came to this stunning realization:
Fretful Porpentine and Lakai are the final two mafia. It makes sense. Even if Pymgy Rugger would have voted for me or StarvingbutStrong and Lakai and FP were to join him, that would still only be three votes and Pygmy Rugger would still have four.
If Lakai were not mafia, the the remaining two members would have joined his vote and gotten him lynched.
I gotta go back and see if Fretful Porpentine has any concrete evidence that supports his towniness.
Okay, here’s what I think of people right now: brewha - either barking mad Townie or very clever Mafia (or vice versa) Fretful Porpentine - the strongest evidence I have for Fretful to be Town is the insane Blaster Master conspiracy theory; if she was Mafia, there was just too high a risk that the scheme would backfire on her Kat - I’m pretty sure she’s Town Lakai - I’m torn on this one. If pimaspinner (or whatever her name is now) hadn’t named him as Town, he’d be on my possible Mafia list. Queuing - I’ve already explained why I think he’s Town StarvingButStrong - Town, based on the Pygmy Rugger vote, if nothing else Storyteller0910 - too consistently helpful to be Mafia, especially in lynching Pygmy Rugger
My gut is urging me to vote brewha based on his antics Yesterday. Queuing, why are you so sure he’s Town?
Yes! Yes! ::whew:: I would have felt so guilty if Pygmy had turned out to be town. That would almost certainly have been the nail in the town’s chances, and since I’d pushed so hard for that lynch, it wouldn’t have been unreasonable for you all to lynch me tomorrow – and that would have been the second townie lynch, game over.
Are you checking up on me? No, I’ll confess what extremes this game has reduced me to: I slipped out of my office (on a ‘bathroom break’) went down three floors to where one of my friends works, and begged her to let me use her computer for a minute.
And what did I gain? Not a damn thing. I was too impatient, and NAF was still screwing with our minds. (I would probably have done the same thing again later on, except that we got awfully busy. This game is like an addiction.)
Huh! I never made the connection to not being able to consult during the ‘night.’ But, hey! I was the first to spot a major tell by Suburban Plankton and posted about it vehemently (though I ended up not voting for him due to timing problems) AND I just went all out to get Pygmy hung. Why would a Mafia do either of those things?
Sheesh. What’s a girl got to do around here to show she’s innocent.
Wow, such a short list! Well, I’ve got a lot of thinking (and some research) to do, but here’s how I sort them right now:
Town:
Me & Storyteller (for our stirling contributions to snuffing PR)
Queuing (because of Aguecheeks prolonged efforts to snuff him)
Leaning town:
Lakai (due to Brewha’s efforts to swing votes his way)
Utterly neutral:
Fretful Porpentine
Leaning Mafia:
Kat (because I like the idea of at least one mafia voting for PR, and I think the others are town.)
Suspicious: Brewha (for all those attempts to sway people away from voting Pygmy)
[QUOTE]
brewha - TOWN (either brilliant or crazy)
I suppose it’s possible he’s town, but what about his posts/theories ‘yesterday’ would make you call him ‘brilliant’?
Everyone really needs to let this go. I’m gonna spell it out for you - beat cops are worthless. We would seriously be better off without them. There is a chance that PimaHockeySpinnerMonkey got a wrong read. Why is that so hard to believe? There is also a very good chance that one of the remaining mafia is the GodFather. You know the one mafia member that comes up town if they are investigated.
Can anyone explain to me a situation where Lakai is not mafia and yesterday’s vote goes through anyway? If there were 3 mafia left, they all three knew that Pygmy Rugger was mafia. They knew that they’d be down to 2 if he gets lynched. They could have easily switched votes to Lakai and lynch him instead. Why didn’t they? Lakai is mafia.
I was going crazy yesterday because I was sure that if the town was split, the mafia would get an easy lynch. Because if half the town voted mafia and half voted for town, the mafia would pick the town and all vote for that person. The thing I didn’t expect was the the town would be split a different way. Half the town votes for mafia the other half votes for another mafia. This is the only thing that could have happened that would not result in a townie death.
If someone can poke holes in my theory other than the fact that a beat cop exonerated Lakai, please tell me.
Nah, you’re not going crazy. If I didn’t know what I was, I’d be suspicious of me too
I don’t know what I think right now – I want to go back and read the beginning of the thread again, because now that we’ve found six Mafia we should be able to get a good read on how they interact with each other and what their early strategy was, and that should yield some leads.
Whoa. I’ve got to work through all the possibilities myself (if ab are the mafia, if ac are the mafia, etc) before I sign on to this theory, but —nope, on the face of it you aren’t in looneyville this time.
Oh, the things I want to research. Might as well toss them out, one of you may already be able to answer off the top of my head:
After Pygmy’s lynch, both Brewha and Lakai say the equivalent of “I suck at this game.” After Aguecheek’s lynch, someone said something similar to “This one is all yours, I was never convinced that Aguecheek was mafia.” Who was that?
Pygmy Rugger was under active suspicion and votes on other days. Looking back, can we see if any particular player(s) were active in turning suspicion away from him those times?
Someone recently posted that they’d looked at the voting patterns between Brewha, Lakai, and Pygmy, and basically said they couldn’t make sense of it. Does it become any clearer now we know Pygmy was mafia?
I’ll look for the answers to this later on, right now I’m going to label some pennies and brute force my way through the possible combinations of 3 and 4 Mafia players and see what I find out.
Fingers crossed that Brewha has found the key to this entire game!
