Let’s assume (I do) that GWB was/is essentially wrong in his rationale for justifying the war a priori; for declaring it successful (on somewhat elided grounds) a posteriori; and for just being a general dupe of a bunch of neocons with Big Ideas that look more like Dumb Ideas.
Fine. That’s not my question.* My question’s quasi-factual, but I don’t fool myself that any Iraq/GWB-related thread could ever stay out of GD, and besides, my question does call for subjective judgment (albeit of the military, not geopolitical, variety). Here goes:
Let’s say it was the wrong war at the wrong time and will never achieve its geopolitical goals.
Even so: what is the best argument that the Alliance Of The Willing’s military forces are gleaning, as a fringe benefit, skills, experience, battle hardening, that will serve them well going forward? In answering these questions, it’s not completely irrelevant to ask if the harm outweighs any such good, but I’d like to limit the “offsetting harm” to issues that specifically limit the effectiveness of the troops themselves for future actions (such as an obvious starter: it’s hard to be prepared for War II when your guys are fully bogged down in War I; or, playing a tune up exhibition game against the Globetrotters, say, is counter-productive if half your squad ends up blowing out their knees; etc.).
I remember that before/during Gulf War I, much was made of the fact that the then-current military leadership had “learned lots of lessons” during their formative years in Vietnam. Thus, Vietnam wasn’t a total loss, went the argument.
So: GWB’s Excellent Adventure winds down. What could we plausibly say would (or would not) be a “lesson learned” or operational advantage gained in Iraq? E.g., lessons in urban counterinsurgency? Coordinating tribally-oriented security forces? How not to decommission an army?
How long would these lessons remain in the military’s institutional memory?
*Further caveat – policy isn’t totally inseperable from tactics. If the CIC is not crazy or stupid (yes, I know), he should at least listen when/if the generals tell him that Strategy X or Tactic Y from the think tank would not/could not ever work in the field. But I really want to avoid the “Was Iraq a good idea?, v.4472” thread.