As I posted:
I think that Utah could very well go for someone other than Trump this year. McMullin or Clinton could take it. I’m not there now so I don’t get a good feel for what is happening, but there is nothing but the sound of crickets on the Facebook posts of my ultra-conservative, Clinton-hating Mormon relatives. Very different from previous elections.
About 5% of Arizona residents are Mormon, with the same activity rate, so 2.5% to 3% of the voters could be active Mormons. If they believe the LDS church has said to not vote for Trump, that could turn it a little blue.
More about my previous post:
The “Trib,” Utah’s largest newspaper was founded as an anti-Mormon outlet more than a century ago. Back when I was growing up in Salt Lake (pre-Atari, post dinosaurs), the majority of the Mormons took the LDS-owned Deseret News and the Non-Mormons as well as some apostates(!) who wanted some real reporting.
That the Trib supports a Democrat is not news. It was recently purchased by Paul Huntsman the brother of Jon, the former presidential candidate.