…if you had asked me a month ago if the Democrats should run anyone but Biden, I would have said absolutely, under no circumstances, no. He was easily the best candidate, the only candidate, to be honest, and I think he would easily have won against Trump in another head-to-head.
Now?
I think the Democrats are fucked.
Nobody has mentioned Gaza here. Which for me indicates what a HUGE blindspot this is going to be for the Democrats. They have no real idea how badly Biden’s handling of this has resonated with certain elements of his base. Many consider what is happening right now a genocide. They won’t ever vote for Trump. But they can’t ever support Biden again. Not while they are watching live on TV while their friends and families are wiped off the earth.
The problem is that there isn’t a Biden replacement. There just isn’t. Nobody is challenging Biden because nobody would have a chance. I think Biden is the only person the Democrats could run that will have a chance at the next election.
But I think they have badly read this situation. I’ve never heard the Republicans so quiet. They aren’t needing to do anything to get a bump. And i don’t think that Biden can fix this. They are hoping people will just forget this in a few months. But that isn’t going to happen. People are not going to be able to forgive.