I agree that the US is marching towards authoritarianism.
I just don’t know how far we will get in our march.
A nation like Poland is further along in their march towards authoritarianism, but Freedom house still ranks them as a Freenation.
One of the problems in the US is that we are structurally set up to reward the authoritarian voters. The electoral college, senate and house all give them overrepresentation. The GOP lost the popular vote in the house in 2012 but kept the majority due to gerrymandering and rural areas having more representation. Democratic senators win more votes but since rural areas are red, they have more senators. The electoral college means the democrat can win by millions of votes and lose the election.
I think what’ll happen is that the majority of Americans, who live in areas that produce 65-75% of America’s GDP will grow more and more resentful about being ruled by a minority of rural whites who have power due to imbalances in our democracy, and just get very jaded and angry about it. Urban blue areas having to pay all the bills and winning more votes, just to see a bunch of rural whites who take more money than they pay in taxes, and who win fewer votes winning office over and over and over will cause a lot of resentment.
Also supposedly very few nations that are democracies make the transition to dictatorship once per capita income goes above 5-10k or so. It is fairly rare. A wealthy, educated, healthy citizenry do not tolerate dictatorship the way a poor, sick, uneducated population do.
But who knows. I think the US will move more and more towards a light form of authoritarianism with fraudulent elections, but not a full authoritarian regime.